【摘要】 提出了基于矿山地震时序分布规律的强矿震事件预测方法 ,并将此法应用于抚顺市老虎台矿与时间有关的矿山地震安全性评估实践。结果表明 ,用该法预测的强矿震事件发生概率与实际矿震记录相符。在此基础上 ,对老虎台矿 2 0 0 1年不同级别强矿震事件发生概率进行了预测更多还原

【Abstract】 A prediction method of strong mine tremors is presented based on the time frequency distribution of mine tremors.The method is applied to the practice of assessment of time dependent seismic hazard at the Lao Hutai coal mine,Fushun city,China.The result shows that the estimated probability of strong mine tremors consists well with the mine tremor record.Using the method,the probability of strong mine tremors in 2001 in Lao Hutai coal mine is predicted.更多还原