【摘要】 利用MM5模式输出的未来24h累计降水量预报值,对2000年11月至2001年5月乌鲁木齐地区5个气象站进行降水预报效果的分析检验,发现:MM5模式的降水预报能力平原优于山区及达坂城谷地;南山山区空报次数较市站成倍增加,而漏报次数较少;达坂城站预报正确率很低,空、漏报次数较多。更多还原

【Abstract】 Throug the constrast and analyze of the MM5 numerical model products from Nov.2000 to May.2001 and the data of precipitation,it is found that the accuracy of forecast in the plains,is better than that in the south mountain,the misses of forecast in the south mountain,are more than that in the plains the worst effect is appeared in Dabancheng.更多还原