【摘要】 建议了一个城市地震次生火灾危险性分析的一般模型。利用民事火灾的统计分析结果，给出了城市地震次生火灾发牛车的修正公式。在此基础上建议了地震次生火灾危险性分析方法，并以超越概率曲线的方法表达次生火灾危险性分析的结果。结合实际工程，给出了分析实例。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper suggests a general model for hazard analysis of urban post-earthquakefire. Based on the statistic study of urban fire, a modified calculating formula for occurrenceof urban post-earthquake fire is established. According to Poisson process model, a generalanalysis method is suggested. The analysis result is depicted by exceedance probability curves.The example analysis for a practical project is given in the paper.更多还原