【摘要】 该文基于夏季降水异常存在准两年振荡的特征 ,提出了预测年际降水异常和大气环流距平的一个有效的新方法 ,其预测效果显著优于通用的传统方法 ,因而具有较好的应用价值 .而对大气环流有关变量的预测效果的改进尤其显著 .更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the quasi biennial oscillation of the summer precipitation anomaly, an effective scheme is proposed for correcting the interannual prediction for summer precipitation and atmospheric general circulation by IAP coupled ocean atmosphere model. Verifications show that the method is more effective than traditional ones and thus is useful in operational climate forecasts.更多还原