【摘要】 日本自步入80年代以来经济缓慢发展，特别是90年代以来经济长期萧条。分析其原因，从日本经济的结构和制度的变迁以及政府政策方面得出：行为短期化和忽视经济结构及制度的良性变迁，是日本经济走向长期萧条的根本性原因。日本的政府主导型模式曾有力地推动了日本经济的快速发展，然而政府主导型模式下，当经济规模扩张之后，政府因结构及制度调整的成本增加，其结构及制度调整的动力日益弱化，并最终转向了以行为短期化和忽视结构及制度变迁为特征的凯恩斯主义。结合日本经济的实例，论证经济规模扩张与经济结构及制度的关系，得出的结论是：在经济的长期发展中，凯恩斯主义已陷入困境。更多还原

【Abstract】 The development of Japan’s economy began to slow down in the 80s and has been suffering from a long-term recession especially since the 90s. An analysis of the history of Japan’s economic structure and system and its government policies shows that the essential cause for the long-term recession of the economy of Japan lies in their shortsighted conduct and failure to effect changes towards the better of the economic structure and system. Despite the fact that Japan’s government-playing-the-leading-role mode effectively promoted the fast development of economy, its motivation for further structural and system readjustment has weakened and finally led to Keynesianism characterized by shortsighted conduct and negligence for continued structural and system development, especially as the cost of restructuring the economy increased after the expansion of the volume of economy. Analysis of the relationship between the expansion of economic volume and the economic structure and system, accompanied by examples, shows that Keynesianism has landed itself in a predicament.更多还原