【摘要】 回顾了我国生育率与出生性别比的变动趋势 ,论证了当生育率从 3.0下降到更替水平过程中 ,出生性别比的上升是不可避免的。我国 90年代出生性别比的异常偏高是客观事实 ,是产前性别选择的结果 ,也是农民不愿多生但想生儿子的生育意愿的反映 ,而农民想生儿子的主要目的是为了传宗接代。只有建立新型生育文化 ,削弱人们传宗接代和重男轻女的观念 ,才能实现低生育水平下的出生性别比正常化。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper analyzes the relations between fertility and sex ratio at birth in rural China and proves the inevitability of rising sex ratio at birth during fertility decline to below replacement level. The high sex ratio at birth in the 1990s in China was a result of prenatal sex selection, reflecting farmer’s desire for fewer children but one son to continue family line. Only by establishing a new fertility culture to replace the old can China realize a normal sex ratio at birth in a low fertility regime.更多还原