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风险分析在建设项目财务评价中的应用
Application of Risk Analysis to the Financial Evaluation of Construction Projects
【摘要】 建设项目的各类财务指标都是将来发生的值 ,大多具有随机性 ,站在前期对将来指标的估算必然存在风险。在项目的实践中 ,投资者经常只是依据简单估算来进行项目的取舍 ,而并没有做深入的前期财务评价与风险分析。在此 ,作者以项目的财务净现值为例 ,将风险分析应用于财务净现值的估算中 ,推出一种全新的建设项目财务评价方法
【Abstract】 Every sort of financial indexes of the construction project is a value occurred in future. It has a random character, so the estimation of these indexes in early stage is surely a matter of risk. In practice, the investors often choose a construction project only by simple estimation rather by deep financial evaluation and risk analysis. In this paper, taking the project NPV as an example and applying risk analysis to its estimation, the authors develop a totally new economic evaluation method for construction projects.
【关键词】 风险;
中心极限定律;
独立性原理;
财务净现值;
净现金流量;
【Key words】 risk; central limit theory; independence theory; financial net present value; net cash flow;
【Key words】 risk; central limit theory; independence theory; financial net present value; net cash flow;
- 【文献出处】 重庆建筑大学学报 ,JOURNAL OF CHONGQING JIANZHU UNIVERSITY , 编辑部邮箱 ,2000年02期
- 【分类号】F283
- 【被引频次】30
- 【下载频次】297