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线性震中迁移交汇法和强震位置预报机理讨论

Discussion on the intersection of linear epicenter migration and location prediction mechanism of strong earthquakes

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【作者】 秦保燕刘耀炜

【Author】 QIN Bao-yan;LIU Yao-wei (Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CSB, Lanzhou 730000, China)

【机构】 中国地震局兰州地震研究所!甘肃兰州730000

【摘要】 由短期、长距离、线性震中迁移线交汇得到的稳定交汇区进行强震地点预报方法称为线性震中迁移交汇法。存在由源向场的迁移、由场向源的迁移及过源迁移3种迁移类型。这3种迁移的总特征是在未来震源区和其附近形成稳定的交汇区。着重讨论“交汇法”的物理基础,并用实例进行证明。

【Abstract】 The method of location prediction of strong earthquakes using stable intersection regions of the linear epicenter migration track with short time and long distance, is called "the intersection method". There are three kinds of migration types: the first is from source to field; the second is from field to source and the third is to pass through the source regions. The main characteristics of those three kinds of migration are that this in tersection region will be the stable site where future earthquake will occur in or near the region. Physical foundation of "intersection method" is discussed in this paper, and some examples of earthquakes are verified.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金!49674210
  • 【分类号】P315.75
  • 【被引频次】6
  • 【下载频次】37
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