【摘要】 本文从单站气压（Ｐ）、气温（Ｔ）和湿度（ｅ）时间变化曲线图上分析归纳得到的６个月韵律模式，在入侵厦门同安区的热带气旋长期预报服务实践中收到了良好的效果。本韵律模式预报简便，预报准确率高出气候概率４倍以上。更多还原

【Abstract】 The troic cyclone, which alwars instrudes our county every year, of ten brings serious effects on the people life and the indusry and agriculture production. The six monthly rhythm mods, wihch are got from the analysis of the single station atmosphere pressure, temperature, humidity, time variation curve charts, have made good effects in the long range tropic cyclone forecast. The rhythm mode is easy to forecast and the forecast accuracy is more than four times of the climate probability.更多还原