【摘要】 利用重力模型和分对数模型，分别对沪宁杭城市群旅客运输需求总量以及各种运输方式的市场份额进行预测和分析，阐述了铁路不仅适合中长途旅客运输，而且也适合大容量、高密度的城市间中短途旅客运输更多还原

【Abstract】 Using gravity model and logit model, we forecast and analysis the gross passenger transport demand and the market shares of various transport modes among Shanghai, Nanjing and Hangzhou cities group, and expound that railway transportation is not only fit to middle and long distance passenger transport but also fit to the middle and short distance passenger transport which has the large capacity and high density transport demand among cities.更多还原