【摘要】 在对最近３ 届奥运会及最近３ 届全运会男子中长跑前８ 名决赛成绩统计分析的基础上，运用灰色理论建立灰色ＧＭ（１，１）模型，通过横、纵对比及模型分析，揭示了近１５ 年来我国和世界男子中长跑项目运动水平发展的一般态势，进而对第９ 届全运会及第２７ 届奥运会第１ 名成绩及前３ 名、前８ 名平均成绩进行了预测更多还原

【Abstract】 On the basis of statistical analysis of the top eight mens final performances in the middle long distance at four preceding Olympic Games and National Games with gray theory to construct GM(1,1), this paper aims to explore the general development tendency of sports proficiency in mens middle long distance event in recent 15 years through the method of the statistical comparison and model analysis. Meanwhile, the prediction of the average performance is presented of the champion, the top three and top eight runners at the next Nationel Games and the coming Olympic Games.更多还原