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我国农机总动力需求的模糊神经网络预测模型

A FNN MODEL FOR FORECASTING THE TOTAL POWER REQUIREMENT OF AGRICULTURAL MACHINERY IN CHINA

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【作者】 关凯书张丽张美华梁安波

【Author】 Guan Kaishu Zhang Meihua Liang Anbo(Laiyang Agricultural College) Zhang Li(Weihai Branch School of Harbin University of Technology)

【机构】 莱阳农学院农业工程系!副教授265200山东省莱阳市哈尔滨工业大学威海分校信控系!讲师264209山东省威海市莱阳农学院农业工程系!工程师莱阳农学院教务处!副教授

【摘要】 利用模糊神经网络建立了具有时间序列对象的预测模型,提出了相应的模糊化方法,并对我国农机总动力需求进行了预测,预测结果和实际情况有较好的一致性

【Abstract】 Based on the combined merits of fuzzy inference mechanism and neural network, this paper presents a fuzzy neural network (FNN) model for forecasting time series problems. With rapid development of techniques in neural network and fuzzy logic systems, the fuzzy neural networks are attracting more and more interests since it is more efficient and powerful than either neural networks or fuzzy logic systems. FNN can accelerate the convergence speed of the system; it can also access to any process adaptively with any accuracy without an analysis and synthesis of the mathematical model of the process. This paper proposes a general method to generate the fuzzy membership functions from numerical data. In order to simplify the algorithm and realize fuzzification, the input and sample data are processed by a special method. Obtained results show that the forecasting values from the model agree well with the original values.

【关键词】 神经网络模糊模型预测
【Key words】 Neural networkFuzzy modelForecasting model
  • 【文献出处】 农业机械学报 ,TRANSACTIONS OF THE CHINESE SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL MACHINERY , 编辑部邮箱 ,1999年05期
  • 【分类号】S210.1
  • 【被引频次】11
  • 【下载频次】90
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