【摘要】 在未来气候变化对作物影响的研究基础上，分析未来不同气候情景对南京地区小麦生长发育、产量形成的影响，并考虑了紫外辐射变化的影响。采用数值模拟方法具体估算了温度升高、降水变化、ＣＯ２ 浓度上升及紫外辐射增强对南京地区小麦产量的影响。计算结果表明：未来ＣＯ２ 增加可提高小麦产量，气温升高、降水变化及紫外辐射增强均使得小麦产量有所降低。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on former researches,analysis was performed of various climate scenarios’ impact on wheat growth and yield formation with enhanced Ultra Violet radiation taken into account. Further work has been done using numerical simulation and results show that higher CO 2, and air temperature,changing precipitation and enhanced UV would cause decreased wheat yield.更多还原