【摘要】 自组织预测模型是前苏联学者Ivakhnenko于 70年代提出的一种非线性建模预测方法 ,它能有效地解决复杂非线性系统的数据处理和建模问题 .应用自组织方法进行地下水污染预测 ,以实际监测数据为基础 ,建立了地下水污染预测的自组织模型 ,其预测精度较高 ,检验误差在 5 .2 %以内更多还原

【Abstract】 The self_organized forecasting model proposed in the 1970’s by Ivakhnenko A.G., a Russian scholar, is a kind of non_linear modeling forecasting method that can solve effectively the data processing and modeling for the complex non_linear system. In this paper, the self_organized method is employed to forecast the groundwater pollution. Furthermore, the self_organized model is established for the forecasting of the groundwater pollution. This model characterized by the relatively high forecasting accuracy exhibits less than 5.2% in error verification.更多还原