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一起甲型肝炎爆发传播因素的Logistic回归分析

Logistic regression analysis of transmissive factors on a hapaitis A outbreak

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【作者】 任军王建军许明德王平张建敏郑兆勋

【Author】 Ren Jun et.al (Anhui Sanitation and Anti-epidemic Station 230061)

【机构】 安徽省卫生防疫站!230061铜陵市卫生防疫站

【摘要】 采用1 :1 配比的病例对照对铜陵市一起甲型肝炎爆发流行进行调查。将调查发现的危险因素,分别计算单因素的OR 值和χ2MH 值,对有统计学意义的16 项危险因素进行多因素条件Logistic 回归分析,筛选出甲肝发病与食果酱面包,在校门口买面包,吃棒棒冰等因素有关,与发病联系强度是食果酱面包高于吃棒棒冰。生产加工果酱面包条件和环境卫生很差,面包卫生质量无法保证。销售果酱面包的时间与地点,与病人发病时间和病例分布范围是吻合的

【Abstract】 In accordance with a hapatitis A outbreak epidemic feature in Tong Ling city,the case-control study (1:1) was adopted and 146cases and controls were investigatenrespectively.According to investigating risk factors,we calculated OR s and χ 2 MH of single risk factor separately.The 16 risk factors of significant OR s were analysed by using conditional logistic regrassion.The results indicated that the hapatitis A associated with eating jam bread,bang-bang ice (a beverage) and buying bread at school entrance.Associated with strengh of hapatitis A,eating jam bread was more powerful than that of eating bang-bang ice.Productiong jam bread condition and environmentol health were worse,the bread hygienic quality wasn’t ensured.The time and place of selling jam bread were identical with that of hapatitis A cases.

【关键词】 甲型肝炎爆发危险因素
【Key words】 hapatitis A outbreak risk factors
  • 【文献出处】 安徽预防医学杂志 ,ANHUI JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE , 编辑部邮箱 ,1999年04期
  • 【分类号】R512.61
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】57
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