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长江三角洲地区农地流转的土地利用变化机理及驱动力模型研究

Respose machanism and drving model of land use changes to farmland transformation in the Yangtze River Delta

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【作者】 黄贤金方鹏

【Author】 Huang Xianjn, Fang Peng(Department of Urban & resoures Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;College of Resources & Environmetal Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural university, Nanjing 210095,China)

【机构】 南京大学城市与资源学系南京农业大学资源与环境学院

【摘要】 文章在分析长江三角洲地区农地流转基本态势的基础上,分别阐述了不同农地流转类型对于土地利用变化的影响机理,从农地集中、农业结构调整、工业化及城市化发展等几个方面分析了农地流转对于土地利用变化的影响。据此,运用农户问卷调查数据,构建了农户农地流转的土地利用变化驱动力模型,结果表明农地流转率、农户收入的非农业比例、农地经营收益、人均承包地面积、政府行为和农户受教育水平等6个因素是农户农地流转中耕地非耕地化的主要驱动因素,而由于不同地区社会经济发展水平的差异性,使得其影响因素及各个因素的影响程度不尽相同。

【Abstract】 Based on the analysis of farmland transformation, the respose mechanism and drving factors are analyzed. Given that, driving models of land use changes to farmland transformation are established by data on the village investigation and farmhousehold questionnaire of six villages of Changshu city, the suburb of Nanjing city and Baoying county in Jiangsu province. The main finding is that holding other factors constant, the higher share of non-agricultural income or the larger average areas of responsibility farmland per capita can promote farmland to transform out. Social and economic developmental level in different regions causes different performance in agricultural production. In the relatively prosperous region with high agricultural production benefits, it is helpful for farmland to transform out while on the contrary in less advanced region. Along with the gradually improvement of the market system, the function of government on the farmland transformation is gradually declined and meanwhile in the less advanced region the peasant households with higher education tend to transform in farmland. Namely, the ratio of the non-cultivated area to cultivated area is higher for those households. Governmental predominant factor is found to have a negative correlation relationship with the ratio of the non-cultivated area.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70373029)
  • 【会议录名称】 管理科学与系统科学研究新进展——第8届全国青年管理科学与系统科学学术会议论文集
  • 【会议名称】第8届全国青年管理科学与系统科学学术会议
  • 【会议时间】2005-04
  • 【会议地点】中国南京
  • 【分类号】F321.1
  • 【主办单位】国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部、中国系统工程学会青年工作委员会
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