【作者】 徐国钧； 李俊；

【Author】 Xu Guojun;Li Jun;College of Bee Science,Fujian Agriculture & Forestry University;College of Natural Resources and Environment,South China Agricultural University;

【机构】 福建农林大学蜂学学院； 华南农业大学资源环境学院；

【摘要】 2004-2014年世界蜂蜜的进口量和进口额不断增长,而日本在国内蜂蜜产量没有明显增加的情况下,蜂蜜的进口量和进口额的增速却大大低于世界水平,所占世界蜂蜜贸易的份额也不断下降。本文在分析日本蜂蜜进口贸易特征的基础上,运用的CMS模型对2004-2014年日本蜂蜜进口量进行实证分析。通过分析发现:随着世界蜂蜜出口量的增长,给日本蜂蜜的进口带来明显正向的市场规模效应,但日本蜂蜜进口的市场分布效应偏弱,特别是进口竞争力效应持续低下,从而造成日本蜂蜜进口数量不断地下降。在2011-2014年,日本蜂蜜进口的市场分布效应由负转正,说明日本蜂蜜进口来源地趋于分散和多元化,这必须引起我们的重视。更多还原

【Abstract】 2004-2014 world imports and?value of imports of honey to increase,while Japan’s domestic honey production under the condition of no discernible increase,honey imports and value of imports growth was significantly lower than the world level,the share of the world honey trade is falling.In this paper,on the basis of assessing the characteristic of Japan honey import trade,using the CMS model from 2004 to 2014 Japanese imports of honey for empirical analysis.Through the analysis found that,as the growth of the world’s honey exports to Japan’s imports of honey have obvious positive effect of the size of the market,but weaker in Japan’s imports of honey market distribution effect,especially the effect of import competition continued low,resulting in Japan honey import quantity continuously decreased.In 2011-2014,Japan’s imports of honey market distribution effect from negative to positive,Japan honey source of imports tend to be scattered and diversification,it must cause our attention.更多还原