【作者】 梁桂花； 徐卫丽； 王文娟； 赵玉； 李瑞峰；

【Author】 Liang Guihua;Zhang Rong;Wang Jianhua;Xu Jinfeng;Cai Xia;Shuozhou City Meteorological Bureau;Meteorological Bureau of Shanxi province;

【机构】 朔城区气象局； 朔州市气象局； 平鲁区气象局；

【摘要】 利用1957—2011年朔州市气象局观测站的气温资料,采用线性倾向估计、滑动平均法、突变和小波分析等方法,分析了近55a来朔州市气温变化的特点和规律。结果表明:朔州市年及四季气温均呈上升趋势,气温倾向率分别为0.27℃/10a和0.24℃/10a、0.16℃/10a、0.21℃/10a及0.45℃/10a。朔州市年平均气温及春、秋、冬季气温均发生了突变,突变开始时间为1993年、1993年、1995年和1990年。朔州市年平均气温及春季气温主要存在4a左右的周期变化,夏、秋、冬季气温主要以2-4a周期变化为主。更多还原

【Abstract】 the use of 1957 to 2011 in Shuozhou City Bureau of meteorology observation station temperature data,using linear trend estimate,the moving average method,mutation and wavelet analysis methods,characteristics and regularity analysis of nearly55A to air temperature change in Shuozhou city.The results show that:Shuozhou City annual and seasonal temperatures are on the rise,the temperature tendency rate respectively is 0.27℃/10a and 0.24℃/10a,0.16℃/10a,0.21℃/10a and 0.45℃/10a.The annual average temperature in Shuozhou and in spring,autumn,winter temperatures were produced mutation,mutation of the starting time for the 1993,1993,1995 and 1990.Shuozhou City,the annual average temperature and air temperature in spring mainly exist periodic variation of about 4a,summer,autumn,winter temperature mainly 2-4a cycle change.更多还原