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“一带一路”战略契机下的陕西省人口特征与经济增长的灰色关联分析

Gray Relational Analysis of Demographic Characteristics and Economic Growth under the Strategic Opportunity of "One Belt and One Road" in Shanxi Province

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【作者】 杨桂红张颖

【Author】 YANG Gui-hong;ZHANG Ying;School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University;

【机构】 北京林业大学经济管理学院

【摘要】 "一带一路"为西部省区的经济发展带来很大的战略契机。研究收集陕西省2006—2012年的9项人口特征和经济总量指标的数据,通过灰色关联分析得出结论。研究认为大专及以上学历人口比重、城镇人口比重和性别比3项指标对陕西省经济增长的贡献率最大,人口自然增长率和平均家庭人口数的贡献率最小。研究建议,在"一带一路"战略契机下,陕西省应重视教育、加快城镇化建设的进程、加强管理和技术创新及促进劳动力流动等,以促进陕西省的经济持续、稳定增长和发展,并促进"一带一路"战略目标的实现。

【Abstract】 "One Belt And One Road" is a great strategic opportunity for the economic development of western provinces and regions in China.This paper collects some data of 9 demographic characteristics and economic aggregate indicators in Shanxi province during 2006-2012.Grey Relational Analysis results show that the proportion of the population of tertiary and higher education,the proportion of urban population and the sex ratio of three indicators significantly contribute to the economic growth in Shaanxi Province,the minimum contribution is the indicators of the rate of natural population growth and the number of average household population.The paper proposed that under the strategic opportunity of "One Belt and One Road",Shannxi province should pay attention to education,accelerate the process of urbanization,strengthen the management and technology innovation and promote labor mobility,etc.in order to promote the sustainable,stable economic growth and development,as well as to promote the realization of the strategy goal of "One Belt and One Road" in Shaanxi province.

【基金】 国家社科基金重点项目(11&ZD042);环境保护部研究项目(HBXM141116)
  • 【会议录名称】 第十一届中国软科学学术年会论文集(下)
  • 【会议名称】第十一届中国软科学学术年会
  • 【会议时间】2015-12-12
  • 【会议地点】中国北京
  • 【分类号】C924.2;F127
  • 【主办单位】中国软科学研究会
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