【作者】 王永岩； 马士进； 高菲；

【Author】 WANG Yong-yan, MA Shi-jin, GAO fei (Dept. of Mechanics and Engineering Sciences,Liaoning Technical University Fuxin 123000,China)

【机构】 辽宁工程技术大学力学与工程科学系；

【摘要】 论述了时间序列分析法并将其引入到软岩巷道围岩变形的预测当中,建立了ARMA(2,1)模型并编制了应用程序,对现场观测数据进行了等时性和平稳性处理,应用逆函数法进行了预测分析,得到了令人满意的结果,为软岩巷道支护的设计和维护提供了重要的参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper, the method of time sequence prediction is illustrated and introduced into the prediction process of the soft rock roadway’s deformation of surrounding rock, ARMA model is set and the applied program has been edited, the on-the-spot data are treated by equivalent time and smooth treatment .The prediction analysis is finished by the way of inverse function and the result is satisfactory, it is an important reference for timbering and design in underground engineering soft rock roadway.更多还原