【作者】 郑照宁； 武玉英； 包涵龄；

【Author】 ZHENG Zhao-ning,WU Yu~ing,BAO Han-ling(Economics and Management School,BeUmg Polytechnk University,Beijing,100022,China)

【机构】 北京工业大学经济与管理学院；

【摘要】 区域可持续开发是区域可持续发展的关键组成部分。由于区域开发的长期性、复杂性、综合性和层次性以及区域开发计划的制定、实施和调控过程中存在着较长的时滞和较大的惯性,因而,依据当前情况所作出的区域可持续开发决策的修改调整比较困难。本文引入自适应理论,指出区域可持续开发决策的制定应从自适应思想出发,使决策具有自适应性,便于后来的决策者能方便的依据预测的、当前的和反馈的信息进行调整.并提出实现自适应决策的关键是建立和完善自适应决镱支持系统,使决策者能根据自适应决策支持系统提供的方案和信息作出决策。更多还原

【Abstract】 :Sustainable regional exploRation is the key element of sustainable regional development.Becauseof its chronicity,complexity,comprehensiveness and hierarchy,and longer time lag and stronger inertia in theformulating,implementing and feedback controlling of regional exploitation planning,it is very difficultcorrecting and adjusting sustainable regional exploitation decision according to the present situation.Byintroducing adaptive theory,this paper points out that making decisions for sustainable regional exploitationshoul,d be based on adaptive methodology and should make these decisions have their adaptiveness,so as tomake easy the later correction and.adjustment of the decisions on the baSis of the forecaSted,concurrent andfeedback information.In the end,this paper proposes that the key for realizing adaptive decision-making lies inthe building and perfecting of adaptive decision support system(ADSS),which Can help decision-makers tomake decisions baSed on seenariOS and information of ADSS.更多还原