【作者】 谷晓平； 徐丹丹；

【Author】 GU Xiao-ping XU Dan-dan (Guizhou Institute of Mountainous Environment and Climate,Guiyang 550002,China)

【机构】 贵州省山地环境气候研究所；

【摘要】 基于贵州省未来气温升高、降水趋势变化不定,假设贵州未来气温升高1～3℃,降水变化-20%～20%来研究气候变化对贵州省农业生产的影响。结果表明,降水充足条件下温度升高,当地主产小麦、水稻的光温生产潜力会增加;但若降水同时发生变化,气候生产潜力则会表现出不同的特点。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on assumption of temperature rising 1-3℃ and rainfall varying from-20% to 20% in Guizhou province in future,the effects of climate change on potential agricultural production was assessed. The results showed that the potential production of wheat and rice could be in- creased if temperature increased with abundant precipitation. But if precipitation changed,the potential production could be uncertain.更多还原