【作者】 穆月英； 苏改珍； 王学萌；

【Author】 MU Yueying, SU Gaizhen, WANG Xue meng ( College of Economics and Management China Agricultural University, Beijing 10009, China; Shanxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Taiyuan, 030006, China)

【机构】 中国农业大学经济管理学院； 山西农业科学院；

【摘要】 在当前社会主义新农村建设中,根据各地区比较优势探索地区发展道路已为政府农村政策方面的中心课题。本研究首先对我国农业发展现状进行了地区比较,然后通过灰色系统评估与聚类分析方法比较,明确了灰色评估方法对分析经济问题的优越性。最后,运用灰色评估方法对我国九种农产品的的地区比较优势进行了估计和分析。结果表明,我国农产品的生产上表现出明显的地域性,农户的收入水平以及农产品贸易方面存在着地区之间的差异。稻谷生产上具有比较优势的省份是江苏、安徽、湖北、湖南、江西、广东、广西、上海、四川和黑龙江。同时也确定了在其他农产品生产上具有比较优势的省份。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the process of the construction of socialist new countryside, to probe the way of regional agricultural development according to the regional comparative advantages of different regions has been the central theme of study in the aspect of government’s countryside policy. This study firstly makes regional comparison to the situation of agricultural development of our country, then makes comparison by the evaluation of grey system and by accumulation analysis, and defines the convenience of the method of grey system evaluation in the analysis of economic problems. Finally, it makes evaluation and analysis to the regional comparative advantages of nine agricultural products of our country by the method of grey system evaluation. The result shows that there is apparent regionality in the production of agricultural products, and there are also regional differences in farmers’ income levels and the trade of agricultural products. The provinces bearing comparative advantages in paddy production are Jiangsu, Anhui, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi, Guangdong, Guangxi, Shanghai, Sichuan and Heilongjiang. It also fixes the provinces which have comparative advantages in other agricultural products.更多还原