【作者】 陈喜生； 邹斌；

【Author】 CHEN Xi-sheng ZOU Bin (School of Communication and Control Engineering,Southern Yangtze University,Wuxi 214122,China.

【机构】 江南大学 通信与控制工程学院；

【摘要】 提出一种基于电价分布规律的发电厂商报价模型．在预测电价服从对数正态分布的条件下,获得电力市场中出清电价的概率分布函数,并根据这个概率分布函数求得发电厂商的报价中标概率函数,进而构建出以期望利润最大化为目的的发电厂商报价模型．利用 PJM 市场的实际数据,验证了所提出模型的有效性．该模型能为发电厂商的实际报价决策提供指导．更多还原

【Abstract】 A power plant bidding model based on market-clearing price distribution is presented.Baaed on forecasting price with Lognormal distribution,the probability density functions of next-day hourly market-clearing prices are obtained.According to the probability density functions,get the bid acceptance probability functions are derived,and the power plant bidding model is established that is used to accomplish the profit maximization.The realistic data from PJM shows the effectiveness of this model.This model can give the plants guidance for the realistic bidding decision making.更多还原