【作者】 刘文超； 胡孟夏； 李一兵；

【Author】 Wenchao Liu 1,Mengxia Hu 2,Libing Li 2(1.RoadTrafficSafetyResearchCenterofthePublicSecurityMinistry,Beijing,100062;2.State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety & Energy,Tsinghua University,Beijing,100084)

【机构】 公安部道路交通安全研究中心； 清华大学汽车安全与节能国家重点实验室；

【摘要】 道路交通安全是一个由多种因素影响和制约的综合系统。本文通过分析道路交通事故的特点及其影响因素,建立了一套由定量指标构成的道路交通安全评价体系,并使用层次分析—最小欧氏距离法确定各评价指标的权重值。针对现有评价方法的不足,本文基于灰色分析,结合主观评价和客观评价的优点,提出了一种新的道路交通安全综合评价模型。最后对全国的道路交通安全状况进行评价,所得的评价结果可直接排序,评价过程客观,方法实用性强。更多还原

【Abstract】 Road traffic safety is a comprehensive system,which is affected and controlled by multiple factors.Analyzing the characteristics and affect factors of the traffic accidents,this paper suggests an index system which contains quantitative indexes for road traffic safety evaluation.The weights of the indexes are determined by AHP-LSDM suggested last year.Based on grey analysis,a new approach was proposed for road traffic safety evaluation,which combines the advantages of qualitative and quantitative analysis.Finally,a comprehensive evaluation of the road traffic safety condition in China is given.The results can be listed in order directly and show the accuracy and validity of the approach.更多还原