【作者】 李伟； 李世超； 王丹；

【Author】 Li Wei,Li Shichao,Wang Dan (North China Electric Power University,Baoding 071000,China)

【机构】 华北电力大学经济管理学院；

【摘要】 具有零排放、寿命长、资源永不枯竭等优点的太阳能光伏并网发电产业逐渐成为当今世界最受关注的新兴产业之一,太阳能光伏并网发电产业风险性评估分析已成为焦点。该文根据太阳能光伏并网发电项目的具体特征,构建了项目风险评价指标体系,应用粗糙集以及模糊层次分析方法对太阳能光伏并网发电项目进行实证分析,结果表明:太阳能光伏并网发电项目基本良好,发电能力稳定性和投资成本大直接受制于该项目的发展建设。对此太阳能光伏并网发电产业应在保持其自身无污染、开发强度大的优点基础上,提高发电的稳定性、降低发电成本、国内自己研发产品原料、提高技术与产品质量。更多还原

【Abstract】 For the advantages of zero emissions,long life and never-dried up,solar photovoltaic(pv)grid power generation has,become one of recently emerging industries at home and abroad,and the risk evaluation of pv grid power industry is the focus.According to the specific characteristics of solar photovoltaic power generation project,a risk evaluation index system was constructed,and an empirical analysis of solar photovoltaic power generation project was conducted by rough sets and fuzzy AHP.The results show that the stability and investment cost of pv grid generation play an important role in the project construction.So,pv grid power industry should keep in its own advantages,and in the meanwhile,improve the stability,lower cost,develop domestic product materials,improve their technology and product quality.更多还原