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区域退耕还林政策实施的农户行为响应机理分析与预测研究——以江西省梅林镇为例
Responses of Farm Household Behavior of Soil and Water Soil Conservation to the Policy of Cultivated Land Conversion for Forest or Grass
【Author】 Zhai Wenxia;Huang Xianjin;Department of Urban & Resource Sciences,Nanjing University;
【机构】 南京大学城市与资源学系;
【摘要】 农户水土保持行为更多的表现了非经济倾向性,与生态环境的变化关系更为密切。农户水土保持行为是农户在经济效益最大化、风险最小化经济特性动机和稳定与安全、休闲、民主与自治非经济性动机多用下,通过理性和非理性的行为方式为达到目标的一系列过程。通过对江西省丰城市梅林镇PSR(概念模型)分析,得出与农户水土保持行为相关性最强的依次是:距中心城镇距离、补偿年限、退耕还林政策实施力度、务农与兼业人口人均农业经营时间。补偿期限以外梅林镇农户收入减少情况下,农户水土保持投入增加的农户为37户,占总体农户的53.62%,主要以劳动力比重较低(30%~50%)、受教育水平低(0~50%)、家庭收入低(<2000元)的农户为主,但也呈现出务农比重高和人均耕地少的现象;在收入不变和增加20%的情况下,农户水土保持投入增加的农户仅增加了2.7%和5.26%,农户类型与收入减少相似。而在收入增加40%的情况下,水土保持投入增加的农户减少了72.5%,农户类型有所变化:劳动力比重出现高度化、务农比重影响加大、人均耕地面积有减少趋势,受教育水平和收入变化不大,主要原因是梅林镇处于以农业为主的收入阶段,收入增加后投入增加户数减少说明这部分农户转向以非农业或农业与非农业收入为主的收入结构层次。据此,提出相关建议。
【Abstract】 Farm household behavior of water and soil conservation(FHBSWC) which has close connection with environment behaves on non-economy orientation.FHBSWC is process that farms reach the economic benefits maximize,dangerous minimum,and non-economy targets by the nodes of rational and non-rational behavior.Based on the analysis on Meilin Town by pressure-state-response,it was found the factors have close correlations with FHBSWC were namely distance to center county,years of compensation,policy intension and time of farming.Farmers invest on SWC would increase to 53.62%if their income reduced out of years of compensation,or reduce to 72.5%if their income increased to 40 percent.
【Key words】 farm-household behavior of water and soil conservation; non-economy orientation; policy of cultivated land conversion for forestry and grass; pressure-state-response; Meilin Town;
- 【会议录名称】 中国土地资源态势与持续利用研究
- 【会议名称】2004’全国土地资源态势与持续利用学术研讨会
- 【会议时间】2004-07-21
- 【会议地点】中国云南昆明
- 【分类号】F326.2;F323.6
- 【主办单位】中国自然资源学会土地资源研究专业委员会