【作者】 赵庆建； 蔡志坚；

【Author】 ZHAO Qing-jian,CAI Zhi-jian (College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing,210037)

【机构】 南京林业大学经济管理学院；

【摘要】 针对森林生态系统生产力适应性管理问题,基于数量生态学、生态经济学等理论和方法,建立了多智能体管理与优化决策模型。模型中将森林生态系统划分为多个单元,分别建立智能体,并在此基础上建立了由同类单元构成的区域适应性管理智能体和系统适应性管理智能体。除考虑气候变化、火灾、病虫害、人类破坏活动等对森林生产力的影响外,首次将适应性管理措施对生产力相关因子的作用纳入模型;同时考虑到森林生态系统分散管理的现状,建立了动态双层优化决策模型。论文还提出了森林生态系统生产力适应性管理的生态效益和经济效益价值计算模型。更多还原

【Abstract】 For the problems of the adaptive management of the forest ecosystem,the management and decision model based on the multi-agent technologies was proposed with the numerical ecology and ecological economy theories and methods.In the model,the forest ecosystem was divided into several units each corresponds to one agent respectively, all units constructed several area adaptive management agents by different kind of units respectively,and the whole forest ecosystem was built one system adaptive management agent.Besides the factors of climate change,fire, plant diseases and insect pests,human damage activities,the influences of adaptive management methods to the factors of productivity were firstly considered in the model.With the distributed management actuality of the forest ecosystem, one dynamic dual-level optimization decision model was set up.At the same time,the ecological value model and economical value model of the forest productivity adaptive management were also proposed.更多还原