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我国就业的产业结构与居民收入分配关系——基于PVAR模型的比较研究
The Relationship between Chinese Industrial Structure of Employment and Income Distribution—A Comparative Analysis of Panel VAR Model
【摘要】 文章构建面板数据模型和面板向量自回归模型,以检验我国28个省市,1995-2009年就业的产业结构变化与城镇居民收入分配变动间的影响力度,互相对对方的冲击情况。表明就全国而言,两者间存在非线性关系,第一、三产业就业人员的扩大造成了我国居民收入差距的拉大,而第二产业从业人员的扩大则可以起到反向作用。就东部和西部地区而言,则与全国的情况有所不同。脉冲响应函数分析表明,在下一期经济增长过程中,第一、二、三次产业的从业人员数增加将对城镇居民收入差距分别形成正向、负向和负向的作用,收入差距的扩大能够在未来引导更多的劳动者流向第三产业,而减少流向第一、二产业。
【Abstract】 In order to understanding the relationship between Chinese industrial structure of employment and town dweller’s income distribution,This paper applies a panel data model and panel VAR model to investigate the impaction to each other of the 29 provinces in mainland China from 1997 to 2009.As for the whole country,Research shows that there is a nonlinear relationship between of them,as the first and three industry employment expanded,A widening income gap fellows.But the second industry employment expansion can play a reverse effect.As for the eastern and western regions,situation is different with the country’s.Impulse response function analysis methods shows that,in the next period of economic growth process,the first,second an third industry’s employment creased will give the gap of town dweller a positive,negative and negative effects,the amplification of income gap will guide more workers flow to the tertiary industry,and reducing the flow of the first and second industry.
【Key words】 Industrial Structure of Employment; Income Distribution; Panel VAR; Impulse Response Function Analysis Methods;
- 【会议录名称】 市场经济与政府职能转变——2012年岭南经济论坛暨广东经济学会年会论文集
- 【会议名称】市场经济与政府职能转变——2012年岭南经济论坛暨广东经济学会年会
- 【会议时间】2012-11-01
- 【会议地点】中国广东广州
- 【分类号】F249.21;F224;F124.7
- 【主办单位】广东经济学会