【作者】 王强； 伍世代； 李婷婷；

【Author】 WANG Qiang,WU Shidai,LI Tingting School of Geographical Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350007, China

【机构】 福建师范大学地理科学学院；

【摘要】 首先提出了城市化演进的能源消费响应的概念,并通过分析1978-2008年中国城市化演进与能源消费之间的协调性,构建城市化演进的能源消费总量响应、结构响应和效率响应模型,探讨了我国城市化演进的能源消费响应机理,从而进一步分析了城市化演进的能源消费响应的空间格局,并划分了其地域类型。研究表明:1978年以来,我国城市化与能源消费总体上来看较为协调,且城市化发展对能源消费依赖度强,但对能源消费结构优化的作用强度不但没有增大反而呈不断减小趋势,另外,城市化对能源消费效率提高的作用强度具有波动性逐步加强的特征;全社会汽车拥有量的增长、劳动力转移、城市建设、大城市比重提高是促进能源消费总量增长的主导因素,同时,农村经济非农化对能源消费总量的增长也起到了一定的拉动作用,而伴随我国人口向城镇聚集、工业经济的快速发展、社会技术进步反而促进了煤炭消费结构比重的增长;受我国产业结构调整影响,尤其受第三产业发展的加速推动和大城市的不断发展壮大较大促进了能源消费对经济的产出效率;我国城市化推进的能源消费响应在空间上为五种类型,即全面推动型、局部推动型、一般推动型、弱推动型和特殊推动型,并综合分析了各类型区域能源消费特征。更多还原

【Abstract】 Base on the proposed concept of energy consumption response to the urbanization evolvement, This article analyzed the coordination of urbanization and energy consumption in China during 1978—2008, established the coefficient model and mechanism model of total energy consumption, energy consumption structure and energy consumption efficiency response to the urbanization evolvement, studied the mechanism and the spatial structure of energy consumption response to urbanization evolvement, and divided into region types. The results showed that urbanization evolvement was in coordinance with energy consumption from 1978 to 2008 as a whole. Urbanization was dependent on energy consumption to a certain degree, but its optimization function on energy consumption structure became smaller not bigger. Additionally, the improving effect of urbanization on energy consumption efficiency was gradually tightened. The increase in the number of motor vehicle, non-agricultural percentage of rural economy and the percentage of large sized cities promoted the growth of energy consumption, as well as the fast transfer of labor and construction of cities. With the population developing at top speed to city and town aggregation, industry, and the social technological and social advance promoted the percentage of coal in energy structure. Affected by readjustment of the industrial structure, especially the development of the third industry, the energy consumption efficiency was improved. The paper divided the country into all-round promoted type, partial promoted type, normally promoted type, weakly promoted type and specially promoted type, then analyzed the characteristics of each regional type.更多还原