【作者】 于淼；

【导师】 郭文强；

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 ， 工程管理硕士（专业学位）， 2025， 硕士

【摘要】 随着全球汽车产业的持续发展和技术的快速进步,汽车底盘作为汽车安全和性能的核心部件,面临着日益复杂的技术和市场挑战。特别是在新能源汽车和智能网联汽车的快速崛起背景下,底盘研发项目的风险管理显得尤为重要。VF公司作为一家在汽车底盘领域具有领先优势的企业,面临着技术不确定性、市场波动以及政策法规等多重外部风险因素,如何有效识别和管理这些风险,已成为保证项目成功和公司持续竞争力的关键。本研究主要探讨了VF公司汽车底盘研发项目中的风险管理问题,采用了网络分析法(ANP)来构建多层次的风险评估模型。研究首先识别了技术风险、市场风险、组织风险和环境风险等四类关键风险,并通过对这些风险的量化分析,揭示了各类风险对项目成功的相对影响。基于风险识别和评估的结果,研究提出了针对性强的风险应对策略,包括技术研发、市场布局、跨部门资源协调以及政策监测与应急机制等,构建了一个动态调整的风险管理框架。本研究不仅为VF公司在高技术研发项目中的风险管理提供了实践指导,也为类似企业在面对复杂研发项目时,如何系统性地进行风险识别、评估和应对提供了理论支持。研究成果对于推动项目管理理论的发展,尤其是项目风险管理在高技术领域的应用具有重要意义,并为相关行业的风险管理实践提供了有益借鉴。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the continuous development of the global automotive industry and the rapid advancement of technology,automotive chassis,as the core component for vehicle safety and performance,faces increasingly complex technical and market challenges.Particularly with the rapid rise of new energy vehicles and intelligent connected vehicles,risk management in chassis development projects has become crucial.VF Company,a leading enterprise in the automotive chassis sector,faces multiple external risk factors such as technological uncertainty,market volatility,and regulatory changes.Effectively identifying and managing these risks has become key to ensuring project success and maintaining the company’s competitive edge.This study focuses on risk management in VF Company’s automotive chassis research and development project,utilizing the Analytic Network Process(ANP)to construct a multi-level risk evaluation model.The research first identifies four key risks—technological risk,market risk,organizational risk,and environmental risk—and through quantitative analysis of these risks,reveals their relative impact on project success.Based on the results of risk identification and evaluation,the study proposes targeted risk response strategies,including technical research and development,market diversification,cross-departmental resource coordination,and policy monitoring and emergency mechanisms,thereby constructing a dynamic risk management framework.This research provides practical guidance for VF Company in managing risks in high-tech research and development projects and offers theoretical support for similar companies facing complex development projects.The findings have significant implications for advancing project management theory,particularly in the application of project risk management in high-tech fields,and provide valuable references for risk management practices in related industries.更多还原