【作者】 张伟；

【导师】 张震宇；

【作者基本信息】 西南交通大学 ， 项目管理， 2022， 硕士

【摘要】 近年来,随着城乡一体化的发展,城市空间不断地向郊外蔓延,粗放型土地利用模式造成城市土地供需平衡矛盾凸显,土地资源紧缺、交通壅塞、人口高密度簇居、旧城功能衰退、人居环境污染等城市问题严重制约了城市的可持续性发展。西方国家在20世纪末,为管治昔日城市的无序扩张蔓延,产生出了新城市主义思潮,TOD模式作为一种精明增长,高效营建的新城市主义规划理念,针对交通沿线及站点的用地形态指导,具有较好的规制合理性;其旨在充分挖掘交通对生产要素流动的促进作用,赋能城市土地开发,并有效提高土地资源的混用程度以及紧凑水平。本文基于TOD核心内涵理念、相关研究和行业内经验总结,借M国Y市轻轨项目建设之机,对轻轨站点周边土地进行了一个前置性的开发价值研究,旨在为后续线站位方案的比选和优化提供支撑,为后续线站位方案确定后,甚至项目建设后进行轨道交通赋能土地开发的研究提供了基础参照,为实施阶段的开发策略提供了助力。本文通过文献研究法、德尔菲法、田野调查法等方法,从定性和定量两个方面对M国Y市轻轨若干站点的土地进行了开发价值研究。在此基础取得了以下学术研究结论:第一,检索阅读相关文献资料,利用德尔菲法确立了区域发展背景、土地价值潜力、外部影响因子3个方面的评估维度,遴选出交通区位、经济活力、居住活力、资源适配程度等12个评价指标,构建出土地评估因子集模型。第二,运用此模型对相关区域的土地进行了价值分级的研究,并取得评价结论。第三,在预设方案的前提下,对若干站点周边土地分别进行了开发价值的分析测算和站点开发排序和相关建议。最后,本文希冀在需要利用土地开发收益补贴轨道建设或运营资金类项目中适度考虑土地开发价值对线站位方案设计、优化的影响;尤其在线站位方案未稳定,无法充分估计轨道交通对站点土地的促进抑制作用时,建议先进行一个前置性的不考虑轨道交通对站点土地影响的土地开发价值研究,以此辅助线站位方案的比选和优化,待线站位方案稳定后,再做一个充分考虑轨道交通对站点土地影响的研究,两相比较即可定性定量,且对实施阶段的土地开发策略更具指导意义。同时,也期望能够对国企在海外投资“轨道+土地开发”模式项目中起到借鉴参考作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years,with the development of urban-rural integration,urban space continues to spread to the suburbs.The extensive land use mode has highlighted the contradiction between urban land supply and demand.Urban problems such as land resource shortage,traffic congestion,high-density cluster population,old city function decline,human settlements and environmental pollution have seriously restricted the sustainable development of the city.At the end of the 20 th century,in order to control the disorderly expansion and spread of cities in the past,western countries produced a new urbanism trend of thought.As a new urbanism planning concept of smart growth and efficient construction,TOD mode has good regulatory rationality for guiding the land use patterns along the transportation lines and stations;It aims to fully tap the role of transportation in promoting the flow of production factors,enable urban land development,and effectively improve the degree of mixed use and compactness of land resources.Based on relevant academic research theories and industry experience summary,taking the opportunity of the construction of the light rail project in Y City,m country,this paper has conducted a pre development value study on the land around the light rail station,aiming to provide support for the comparison and optimization of the station location schemes of the follow-up line,and provide a basic reference for the research on the development of the rail transit enabled land after the station location schemes of the follow-up line are determined,even after the project construction,It provides assistance for the development strategy in the implementation phase.Through the methods of literature research,Delphi and field investigation,this paper studies the land development value of several light rail stations in Y City of M country from both qualitative and quantitative aspects.On this basis,the following academic research conclusions are obtained: first,by searching and reading relevant literature,the Delphi method is used to establish the evaluation dimensions of regional development background,land value potential and external impact factors,and 12 evaluation indicators such as traffic location,economic vitality,residential vitality and resource adaptation are selected to build a land evaluation factor set model.Second,this model is used to study the value classification of land in relevant areas,and the evaluation conclusion is obtained.Thirdly,on the premise of the preset scheme,the development value of the land around several light rail stations is analyzed and calculated,and the station development order is sorted.Finally,this paper hopes to properly consider the impact of land development value on the design and optimization of railway station location scheme when it is necessary to use land development income to subsidize track construction or operating capital projects;In particular,when the on-line station scheme is not stable and the promotion and inhibition of rail transit on the station land cannot be fully estimated,it is recommended to conduct a preliminary study on the land development value without considering the impact of rail transit on the station land,so as to assist in the comparison and optimization of the line station scheme.After the line station scheme is stable,a study with full consideration of the impact of rail transit on the station land can be conducted,and the two-phase comparison can be qualitative and quantitative,and it has more guiding significance for the land development strategy in the implementation stage.At the same time,it is also expected to play a reference role for state-owned enterprises in overseas investment "track + land development" mode projects.更多还原