【作者】 陈荣；

【导师】 郑文升；

【作者基本信息】 华中师范大学 ， 农村发展， 2023， 硕士

【摘要】 县域新型城镇化是我国在新发展格局中的重要一环,县城以纽带作用连接城乡,推进要素流动。近几年,国家相继出台有关文件,明确县城在新阶段的新定位,分类引导县城发展方向,依据实际情况合理地进行功能定位,科学地制定发展路径。并且,在十四五文件中提及,需依托城市群和都市圈的建设,加快推进大中小城市和小城镇联动、协调、特色化发展,进一步对提高城镇化质量做出相关部署。在推动以人为核心的新型城镇化进程中,城市圈这一空间载体为县域发展提供机遇,对新型城镇化建设具有战略意义。因此,本文深入分析武汉城市圈县域的新型城镇化状况,对促进城乡融合发展具有重要作用。本文从县域层面出发,以武汉这座大城市的周边县域为切入点,选择武汉城市圈内部25个县(市)为研究对象。从政府官网、统计年鉴以及工作报告中获取相关数据构建指标体系,借助熵权法测度县域新型城镇化水平,再通过Arc GIS进行空间格局分析,借助SPSS制作树状图,并基于各个县域特点进行分类评价;在此基础上,利用皮尔森相关分析、空间自相关、空间计量模型等进一步探讨武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化多维因子的空间效应。最后基于实证分析结果,结合县域实际情况,针对性地提出优化对策,为武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化的发展提供参考。通过分析研究,得出以下结论:(1)武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化水平呈稳步增长趋势。在研究期间内,县域的新型城镇化水平排名变化呈“高低稳、中波动”特征,即保持相对高水平和低水平的县域,它们的排名变化幅度小,处于中间水平的县域变化幅度大。(2)武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化水平存在明显差异。空间分布特征:县域的新型城镇化水平呈现“西南高,东北低”的空间分布格局,并且表现为“不均衡且分散发展”。空间演变特征:高值区县域仍然主要分布在西南地区,中等水平地区从东南部集聚分布,演变成西北、东北、南部零散分布;低值区最开始集聚在北部地区,演变成北部和东部集聚现象。(3)武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化水平聚类分为三个梯队。新型城镇化水平高的县域,数量少;资源禀赋强,经济发展水平快。新型城镇化水平中等的县域,数量多;发展速度不一,地域优势不同。新型城镇化水平较低的县域,数量少;受限于自然条件,但潜力大。未来可以着重推进新型城镇化建设,以缩小城市圈内部县域的发展差距。(4)武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化水平存在空间相关性。总体上来看,空间集聚的变化波动较弱,整体呈现出高—高,低—低的集聚现象。城市圈县域中属于H—H聚集区的县(市)主要包括潜江市、天门市、仙桃市、赤壁市、嘉鱼县等,L—L聚集区主要包括孝昌县、云梦县、团风县、云梦县、大悟县等。(5)武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化多维因子的空间效应不同。在总效应方面,城镇化水平维度因子空间效应最大,其次分别为基础设施维度因子、空间格局维度因子、市民化质量维度因子、经济发展维度因子、环境质量维度因子。从直接效应来看,城镇化水平维度因子对于本地区的效应最大,其次是环境质量维度因子和空间格局维度因子。从间接效应来看,除了城镇化水平维度因子,基础设施维度因子的溢出效应最为显著。说明这些维度因子不仅对本地区新型城镇化有影响,并且会辐射至周边邻近县域,对其城镇的发展会有正向效应。而环境质量维度因子的间接溢出为负向作用,表明县域在新型城镇化发展过程中,会出现污染转移等现象;市民化质量和经济发展维度因子不存在空间溢出效应,说明县域人口市民化程度和经济发展的空间效应更偏向直接作用于本地区。(6)武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化的发展具有多元化趋势,未来优化对策需要因地制宜。由于县域新型城镇化发展水平存在空间差异,各个县域的城镇化阶段也不同,发展规划需立足实际情况。因此,基于上述考虑,本文以空间格局、发展水平差异、不同县域类型的角度对武汉城市圈县域新型城镇化发展提出以下三个方面的具体对策:1、科学合理规划,优化县域空间格局。2、注重水平差异,实现县域协调发展。3、多元分类指导,促进县域特色发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 New-type urbanization in counties is an important part of China in the new development pattern,where counties connect urban and rural areas with a nexus role and promote the flow of factors.In recent years,the state has issued relevant documents to clarify the new positioning of counties in the new stage,to guide the development direction of counties in a categorical manner,to reasonably position their functions according to the actual situation,and to scientifically formulate the development path.Moreover,in the 14 th Five-Year Plan document,it is mentioned that the construction of city clusters and metropolitan areas should be relied on to speed up the linkage,coordination and characteristic development of large,medium and small cities and towns,and further make relevant arrangements to improve the quality of urbanization.In the process of promoting new-type urbanization with people as the core,this spatial carrier of the city circle provides opportunities for county development and is of strategic importance to the construction of new-type urbanization.Therefore,this paper provides an in-depth analysis of the new-type urbanization situation in the counties of the Wuhan urban area,which is important for promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas.From the county perspective,this paper takes the surrounding counties of Wuhan,a large city,as the entry point,and selects 25 counties within Wuhan metropolitan area as the research objects.The index system is constructed by obtaining relevant data from the official government website,statistical yearbooks and work reports,and the new urbanization level of counties is measured by the entropy weight method,followed by spatial pattern analysis by Arc GIS,tree diagram by SPSS,and classification evaluation based on the characteristics of each county.Based on that,Pearson correlation analysis,spatial autocorrelation and spatial econometric models were used to explore the spatial effects of multi-dimensional factors of new-type urbanization in Wuhan metropolitan area counties.Finally,based on the results of the empirical analysis and the actual situation of the counties,we propose optimized countermeasures for the new-type urbanization of counties in Wuhan metropolitan area.Moreover,that can provide a reference for counties with similar background.From the analysis and research,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)The level of new-type urbanization in counties in Wuhan metropolitan area shows a steady growth trend.During the study period,the ranking of new-type urbanization level of counties are characterized by "high,low,stable and medium fluctuation".In layman’s terms,the high and low levels’ counties change lightly in their rankings,while those in the middle level change distinctly.(2)There are obvious differences in the new-type urbanization levels of counties in Wuhan metropolitan area.Spatial distribution characteristics: The new-type urbanization level of counties show a spatial distribution pattern of "high in the southwest and low in the northeast" and "uneven and scattered development".Spatial evolution characteristics:the high-value area counties are still mainly distributed in the southwest,the middle-level areas are clustered and distributed in the southeast,and become scattered in the northwest,northeast and south;the low-value areas are clustered in the north at the beginning,and become clustered in the north and east.(3)The clustering of new-type urbanization levels in counties of Wuhan metropolitan area is divided into three echelons.From the dendrogram of cluster analysis,the counties with high-level of new-type urbanization are small in number;strong in resource endowment and fast in economic development level.The counties with medium-level of new-type urbanization have a large number of counties;different development speed and different geographical advantages.Counties with a low-level of new-type urbanization,few in number;limited by natural conditions,but with high potential.In the future,we can focus on promoting their new urbanization construction to narrow the development gap of counties within the urban area.(4)There is spatial correlation in the level of new-type urbanization in counties of Wuhan metropolitan area.On the whole,the changes of spatial agglomeration fluctuate weakly,and the overall phenomenon of high-high and low-low agglomeration is shown.The counties(cities)belonging to the H-H agglomeration area in the counties of the metropolitan area mainly include Qianjiang,Tianmen,Xiantao,Chibi,Jiayu,etc.The L-L agglomeration area mainly includes Xiaochang,Yunmeng,Tuanfeng,Yunmeng,Dawu,etc.(5)The spatial effects of multidimensional factors of new-type urbanization in counties of Wuhan metropolitan area are different.In terms of total effect,the spatial effect of urbanization level dimension factor is the largest,followed by infrastructure dimension factor,spatial pattern dimension factor,citizenship quality dimension factor,economic development dimension factor,and environment quality dimension factor,respectively.In terms of direct effects,the urbanization level dimension factor has the largest effect on the region,followed by the environment quality dimension factor and the spatial pattern dimension factor.In terms of indirect effects,in addition to the urbanization level dimension factor,the spillover effect of the infrastructure dimension factor is the most significant.This indicates that these dimensional factors not only influence the new urbanization of the region,but also radiate to the neighboring counties and have a positive effect on the development of their towns.The indirect spillover effect of the environment quality dimension factor is negative,indicating that pollution transfer and other phenomena will occur in counties in the process of new urbanization development;there is no spatial spillover effect of the citizenship quality and economic development dimension factors,indicating that the spatial effects of the citizenship degree and economic development of counties are more inclined to act directly on the region.(6)The development of new-type urbanization in counties in Wuhan metropolitan area has a diversified trend,and future optimized countermeasures need to be adapted to local conditions.As there are spatial differences in the development levels of new-type urbanization in counties,the urbanization stages of each county are also different,and each one has its own characteristics.Therefore,based on the above considerations,this paper proposes the following three specific countermeasures for the future development of new-type urbanization in counties in Wuhan metropolitan area based on the perspective of spatial pattern,development level differences,and different county types:1.scientific and reasonable planning to optimize the spatial pattern of counties;2.focusing on level differences to realize coordinated development of counties;3.diversified and classified guidance to promote the development of county characteristics.更多还原