A公司光伏电站售电模式优化研究

【作者】 袁浩；

【导师】 陈刚；

【作者基本信息】 贵州大学 ， 工商管理（专业学位）， 2022， 硕士

【摘要】 随着我国“2030年实现碳达峰,2060年实现碳中和”战略目标的提出,光伏产业得到了快速的发展。同时,以光伏、风电为代表的新能源电力将是我国未来能源结构转型的基础,关系到我国的能源安全。近年来光伏发电项目大量开工,光伏发电的占比也日益提高,随之则产生了光伏项目投资收益率较低、对电网安全产生冲击等问题。可以看出,做好光伏电站的运营管理对产业发展、我国能源结构转型与安全至关重要。本文从光伏电站的售电模式出发,结合常见的光伏电站运营管理模式制定出5个具有普遍性的优化方案,并运用AHP-TOPSIS相结合的方法计算出A公司光伏电站售电模式的最优优化方案。首先,本文结合文献分析与专家意见,总结出售电模式基于综合效益的3个一级评价指标,包括售电渠道优化、售电时间段优化和售电稳定性优化,再根据一级评价指标的特点细分为11个二级评价指标。随后,结合专家意见法与AHP法算出二级评价指标基于综合效益为目的的相对总权重。接着根据常见的光伏电站运营管理模式,制定5种优化方案,并结合AHP-TOPSIS法判断指标对优化方案的影响程度,以此作为A公司光伏电站售电模式优化方案综合效益的依据,从而计算并分析出最优的优化方案。本文采用AHP-TOPSIS相结合的方法,对优化方案的综合效益进行了详细、科学的分析,为光伏电站售电模式的优化提供了依据,以期促进我国光伏产业的发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 With Chinese strategic goal of "achieving carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060",the photovoltaic industry has been developing rapidly in China.At the same time,new energy power,represented by photovoltaic and wind power,will be the basis of Chinese future energy structure transformation and related to Chinese energy security.In recent years,many photovoltaic power generation projects have been started,and the proportion of photovoltaic power generation is also increasing,which has given rise to problems such as low return on investment in photovoltaic projects and impact on grid security.Good operation and management of photovoltaic power plants is crucial to the development of the industry,the transformation of Chinese energy structure and security.To improve the operation and management of PV power plants,this paper develops different optimization schemes from the operation and management modes of PV power plants and uses the combined AHP-TOPSIS method to calculate the optimal optimization scheme for the sales mode of Company A’s PV power plant.Firstly,combining literature analysis,expert opinions,and relevant experiences,three primary evaluation indicators of the electricity sales model based on comprehensive benefits were summarized,including electricity sales channel optimization,electricity sales period optimization and electricity sales stability optimization,which were then subdivided into 11 secondary evaluation indicators according to the characteristics of the primary evaluation indicators.Subsequently,the relative total weights of the secondary evaluation indicators based on overall efficiency were calculated by combining the expert opinion method and the AHP method.The AHP-TOPSIS method is then used to determine the degree of influence of the indicators on the optimization scheme,which is used as the basis for the overall effectiveness of the optimization scheme of the electricity sales model of Company A’s photovoltaic power plant,to calculate and analyses the optimal optimization scheme.In this paper,the combined AHP-TOPSIS method is mainly used to select the optimization scheme,and the comprehensive benefits of the optimization scheme are analyzed in detail and scientifically,providing a basis for the optimization of the electricity sales model of PV power plants,with a view to promoting the development of Chinese PV industry.更多还原