【作者】 王健；

【导师】 张兆同；

【作者基本信息】 南京农业大学 ， 工程硕士（专业学位）， 2020， 硕士

【摘要】 近年来,随着全球经济的逐渐复苏,机械制造业的发展使得矿山机械制造企业迎来了发展的黄金时期,但其发展过程是跌宕起伏的:在2006到2016年间,矿山机械制造行业先是发展过快而后又由于产能过剩,使得行业进入了下滑周期;2017年开始,随着供给侧结构性改革以及“一带一路”战略的推进,各项基础建设投资活跃,制造行业开始回暖,矿山机械制造行业也进入景气期,企业间的竞争也将更加激烈。而当前企业之间的竞争就是供应链之间的竞争,供应链的任何一个环节出现问题都有可能引发风险。因此,降低供应链风险,是机械制造企业急需解决的问题。随着当前机械制造企业间供应链的竞争,各种供应链上的风险事件也层出不穷,矿山机械制造企业对供应链风险管理的重视程度也越来越高。基于此,本文选取了行业内较具有代表性的企业:A矿山机械制造企业。首先,对相关理论进行了归纳总结,为后续的研究奠定了理论基础;其次,通过分析A公司的基本情况、供应链特点,总结A公司的供应链风险特点;再次,使用文献归纳法总结三大风险来源,从外部环境、内部运作以及合作3个方面来对风险因素进行分析,使用流程图法初步分析出6个一级指标和31个二级指标,并使用模糊德尔菲法筛除了 7个二级风险指标,最终形成的风险评价指标体系包括6个一级指标和24个二级指标;然后使用层次分析法求出风险指标的相对权重,用模糊综合评价法计算各风险指标的评价值;根据结果,得出当前企业供应链上风险程度较高的分别是采购风险、配送风险和生产风险,且当前企业整体供应链风险程度属于一般水平。最后,根据风险评价的结果,分别从6个方面提出A矿山机械制造企业供应链风险防范的建议,以期A矿山机械制造企业供应链风险管理得到优化。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years,with the steady recovery of the global economy,mining machinery manufacturing enterprises have ushered in a golden period of development due to the development of machinery manufacturing.But its development process is ups and downs:From 2006 to 2016,the mining machinery manufacturing industry first developed too fast,and then due to overcapacity,the industry entered a downward cycle,starting in 2017,with the advancement of supply-side structural reforms and "Belt and Road" strategy.Various infrastructure investments were active,the manufacturing industry was picking up,the mining machinery manufacturing industry had also entered a prosperous period,competition among enterprises would also be more intense.And the current competition between enterprises is the competition between supply chains,problems in any part of the supply chain may cause risks,Therefore,reducing supply chain risks is a problem that machine manufacturers need to solve urgently.With the current supply chain competition among machinery manufacturing enterprises,risk events in various supply chains were also emerging,mine machinery manufacturing companies also paid more and more attention to supply chain risk management.Based on this,this article selects more representative enterprises in the industry:A mining machinery manufacturing enterprise.Firstly,this article summarizes the relevant theories and lays a theoretical foundation for subsequent research;Secondly,this article summarizes company A’s supply chain risk characteristics by analyzing company A’s basic situation and supply chain characteristics;Thirdly,this article uses literature induction to summarize the three major sources of risk and analyze risk factors from three aspects:external environment,internal operation and cooperation,and use flow chart method to preliminary analyze 6 firstlevel indicators and 31 second-level indicators,and use literature induction to summarize the three major sources of risk.The resulting risk evaluation indicator system includes 6 firstlevel indicators and 24 second-level indicators;Fourthly this article use the Analytic Hierarchy Process to find the relative weight of the risk index,and use the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to calculate the evaluation value of each risk index,according to the results,it is concluded that the current purchase risk,distribution risk and production risk in the enterprise supply chain are relatively high,and the current risk level of the overall supply chain of the enterprise is a general level;Finally,according to the results of the risk assessment,suggestions for supply chain risk prevention of A mining machinery manufacturing enterprise are proposed from 6 aspects,with a view to optimizing the supply chain risk management of A mining machinery manufacturing enterprises.更多还原