【作者】 刘影；

【导师】 陈晓红；

【作者基本信息】 哈尔滨师范大学 ， 人文地理学， 2021， 硕士

【摘要】 脱贫攻坚浪潮将乡村发展振兴引入到全国探索阶段,县域乡村如何进行发展是所有人都在追寻的答案。县域乡村作为一个复杂庞大的结构,内部要素间如何作用最大化,促使县域乡村系统健康稳定的发展。当外界环境条件改变或内在要素格局变动的情况下,县域乡村系统如何应对诸多不确定因素的干扰下维持自身系统吸收或优化这种干扰并保持持续发展,成为学界关注的重点。与此同时,韧性理论的提出能解决乡村当前面临的窘境,韧性乡村的构建逐渐成为县域乡村问题研究的新视角。县域乡村地域系统韧性塑造是中国县域乡村地区降低脆弱性风险和促进可持续发展实现县域乡村振兴的基本保障途径,推动现代便捷化、美丽绿色化县域乡村建设具有重要的指导意义。本文的数据来源主要是《中国县(市)社会经济统计年鉴》(2012—2018)、《中国县域统计年鉴(县市卷)》(2012—2018)、黑龙江统计局。运用熵值法、空间分析法、地理探测器模型等方法对2011-2017年黑龙江省63个县域乡村单元“三生”韧性测度,对“三生”韧性的时空演变和影响因素进行深度分析,具体对生产韧性、生活韧性、生态韧性的优化提升提出相应对策建议。主要结论如下:(1)黑龙江省县域乡村地区韧性有待提高,2011-2017年黑龙江省63个县域乡村韧性呈现明显的空间分异特征。韧性强度不足且具有较大的发展潜力,但区域间韧性差异显著,韧性极差达0.44。(2)县域乡村韧性“极核”现象明显,高值区韧性主要分布在哈尔滨市辖区、大庆市辖区和牡丹江市辖区三大中心集聚。(3)生产韧性、生活韧性和生态韧性间发展极不均衡,且大部分县域乡村地区生产韧性、生活韧性、生态韧性远不能达到发展要求。(4)基于“三生”理念下县域乡村韧性的空间异质性主要是由地区间生产能力、生产结构、生产经济、生活差异、生活服务、生活资本、生态污染和生态压力间的差异导致,2011-2017年间黑龙江省县域乡村韧性空间分异的影响因素总体上从大到小依次为:地区生产总值(X3)>规模以上工业总产值(X1)>城镇居民可支配收入(X6)>道路密度(X5)>农用化肥施用强度(X7)>第三产业占GDP比重(X2)>人口密度(X8)>城乡收入比(X4),其中生产能力、生产经济与生活资本是影响地区间韧性差异的首要因素。(5)生产韧性、生活韧性与生态韧性三者间是动态发展的。从生产集约利用与高效益、生活宜居适度与高品质、生态绿色发展与高颜值等方面提出提升县域乡村“三生”韧性的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The wave of poverty eradication has introduced the revitalization of rural development to the national exploration stage,and how to carry out the development of county rural areas is the answer that everyone is seeking.As a complex and huge structure,how to maximize the role of internal elements to promote the healthy and stable development of the county rural system,and how to maintain the county rural system to absorb or optimize the disturbance of many uncertain factors to sustain the development when the external environmental conditions change or the pattern of internal elements changes have become the focus of academic circles.At the same time,the resilience theory seems to be able to solve the dilemma faced by the countryside at present,and the construction of resilient countryside gradually becomes a new perspective for the study of county rural issues.The resilience shaping of county rural geographical system is a basic guarantee way to reduce vulnerability risk and promote sustainable development for the revitalization of county rural areas in China,and it is an important guiding significance to promote the construction of modern,convenient and beautiful green county rural areas.The data sources of this paper are mainly the China County(City)Social and Economic Statistical Yearbook(2012-2018),China County Statistical Yearbook(County and City Volume)(2012-2018),and Heilongjiang Bureau of Statistics.Using entropy value method,spatial analysis method and geographic detector model,we measured the "three lives" resilience of 63 counties and rural units in Heilongjiang Province from 2011 to 2017,and conducted in-depth analysis on the spatial and temporal evolution and influencing factors of the "three lives" resilience,specifically on We propose countermeasures to optimize the production resilience,living resilience and ecological resilience.The main conclusions are as follows.(1)The resilience of rural areas in the counties of Heilongjiang Province needs to be improved,and the resilience of 63 counties in Heilongjiang Province from 2011 to2017 shows obvious spatial divergence.The resilience strength is insufficient and has greater development potential,but the difference in resilience between regions is significant,and the extreme difference in resilience reaches 0.44.(2)The phenomenon of "extreme nucleus" of county rural resilience is obvious,and the high value of resilience is mainly distributed in the three central clusters of Harbin,Daqing and Mudanjiang municipal districts.(3)The development of production resilience,living resilience and ecological resilience is extremely uneven,and most counties and rural areas are far from meeting the development requirements of production resilience,living resilience and ecological resilience.(4)The spatial heterogeneity of county rural resilience based on the concept of "three lives" is mainly caused by the differences between regions in production capacity,production structure,production economy,living differences,living services,living capital,ecological pollution and ecological pressure.The factors in general,in descending order,are: regional gross product(X3)> total industrial output value above scale(X1)> urban residents’ disposable income(X6)> road density(X5)> agricultural fertilizer application intensity(X7)> tertiary industry share of GDP(X2)> population density(X8)> urban-rural income ratio(X4),where production capacity,production economy and living capital are the factors influencing inter-regional The primary factor of resilience difference.(5)Production resilience,living resilience and ecological resilience are dynamically developed.we propose suggestions to improve the resilience of "three lives" in rural counties from the aspects of intensive use and high efficiency of production,moderate and high quality of living,and green development and high value of ecology.更多还原