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印度莫迪政府对华政策分析

Analysis of India’s Modi Government’s China Policy

【作者】 刘青青

【导师】 王创峰;

【作者基本信息】 河南大学 , 国际政治, 2019, 硕士

【摘要】 2014年5月,纳伦德拉·莫迪(Narendra Modi)以“压倒性”优势赢得印度大选,当选为印度第15任总理。由于莫迪本人的强势风格,一时间,外界普遍认为印度在莫迪总理的领导下将产生强势外交。莫迪政府时期,印度的外交政策尤其是对华外交成为外界关注的焦点。冷战结束后,由于全球战略格局进行重组,导致印度洋地区的地缘政治优势日益凸显,中印关系也进而成为亚洲和印度洋地区比较复杂的双边关系之一。中印两国既有基于相似历史上的战略利益,又有地缘政治竞争的脆弱性。随着中印两国的双崛起以及印度洋地位的上升,中印两国不仅共同利益增加,而且竞争也在不断加剧,同时印度还处于被域外国家拉拢的有利地位中。莫迪总理上台后,印度外交的进取性姿态更加明显,希望从全球地位中的“平衡力量”转化为“领导力量”。莫迪政府时期对外政策的调整主要体现在“印太”地区以及中印双边关系层面。在“印太”地区,印度为应对中国崛起不仅与美日等国组建“小多边”机制对冲中国“一带一路”倡议,而且还积极发展同周边国家的外交关系来阻碍中国在南亚地区的发展。在中印关系层面,中印边界争端等老问题依然存在,同时在安全上,印度对中国仍存在“战略焦虑”,但两国在经贸合作上稳步推进。观察自莫迪上任以来领导的“强势政府”的对华外交实践,可以发现莫迪政府时期对华政策的延续性大于可变性。莫迪政府注重务实外交,通过不断调整外交手段来为战略目标服务,以期冀实现“有声有色的大国梦想”。为了更好地把握印度对华外交的重点与诉求,本文首先分析莫迪上任后的对华政策,其次再研究莫迪政府调整对华政策的原因,最后研究莫迪政府调整对华政策的影响及面临的困境。因此,研究莫迪政府时期的对华政策,阐述中印两国关系的现状,对中印两国具有现实的指导意义。

【Abstract】 In May 2014,Narendra Modi won the Indian election as the 15 th Prime Minister of India with an “overwhelming” advantage.Due to Modi’s strong style,it was widely believed that India had a new “strong government”.After Modi came to power,the Indian government’s foreign policy,especially the China policy,has become the focus of the outside world.After the end of the Cold War,due to the reorganization of the global strategic structure,the geopolitical advantages of the Indian Ocean region have become increasingly prominent,and Sino-Indian relations have become one of the more complex bilateral relations between Asia and the Indian Ocean.China and India have both the strategic interests based on similar history and the fragility of geopolitical competition.With the rise of China and India and the rising status of the Indian Ocean,China and India not only have increased common interests,but also intensified competition.At the same time,India is still in a favorable position to be drawn from outside the country.After Prime Minister Modi came to power,the aggressive attitude of Indian diplomacy became more apparent,hoping to transform from a "balanced power" in global status to a "leadership." The adjustment of foreign policy during the Modi government period was mainly reflected in the "Indo-Taiwan" region and the bilateral relations between China and India.In the "Indo-Taiwan" region,India has not only cooperated with the United States and Japan to establish a "small multilateral" mechanism to hedge China’s "One Belt,One Road" initiative,but also actively develops diplomatic relations with neighboring countries to hinder China’s development in South Asia..At the level of Sino-Indian relations,old problems such as Sino-Indian border disputes still exist.At the same time,in terms of security,India still has "strategic anxiety" toward China,but the two countries have steadily advanced in economic and trade cooperation.Sino-Indian relations are one of the more complicated bilateral relations in the Asian and Indian Ocean regions.After the end of the Cold War,the global strategic structure was reorganized and the importance of the Indian Ocean region became increasingly prominent.China and India have both the strategic interests based on similar history and the fragility of geopolitical competition.With the rise of China and India and the rising status of the Indian Ocean,China and India not only have increased common interests,but also intensified competition.At the same time,India is still in a favorable position to be drawn from outside the country.Observing the diplomatic practice of China from the "strong government" led by Modi,we can find that the continuity of China’s policy during the Modi government period is greater than the variability.The Modi government pays attention to pragmatic diplomacy and serves the strategic goals through continuous adjustment of diplomatic means,with a view to achieving the "dream of a big country with great enthusiasm." In order to better grasp the priorities and appeals of India’s diplomacy to China,this paper first analyzes Modi’s China policy after taking office,and then studies the reasons why Modi’s government adjusts its China policy,focusing on the influence of Modi’s government’s adjustment of China’s policy.And the dilemma facing.Therefore,studying the China policy during the Modi government and expounding the status quo of Sino-Indian relations have realistic guiding significance for China and India.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 河南大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2020年 01期
  • 【分类号】D822.335.1
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】629
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