【作者】 李星；

【导师】 张巍；

【作者基本信息】 重庆大学 ， 工程硕士（建筑与土木工程）（专业学位）， 2018， 硕士

【摘要】 1998年房改拉开了我国房地产市场的序幕,从2005年开始,房价快速上涨,国家陆陆续续出台了很多调控政策来稳定房价,但是调控效果往往不能达到预期目标。深入分析房地产市场调控政策的效果情况,能够为政府部门出台调控政策提供参考建议,提高调控效果。因此,本文的研究对象就是房地产市场调控政策。本文综合运用实证分析和规范分析结合、定性分析和定量分析结合、文献研究法三种研究方法。首先,总结国内外关于房地产调控政策效果评价的学术研究情况,明确房地产调控政策的相关研究理论。其次,对于研究所需的供需均衡理论、公共选择理论和市场失灵理论进行阐述,为研究奠定理论基础。然后,分析房地产市场调控的历年政策,并对其产生的影响从房价、供需量和供需结构三方面进行评定。运用PSR模型定量研究,分析压力指标体系、状态指标体系和响应指标体系,确定数据标准化和权重。最后以重庆市为例进行实证研究,分析房地产调控政策效果存在的问题。研究结果表明,重庆市房价变化规律和房地产调控政策变化规律具有一致性,在政策鼓励期,房价总体呈上升趋势,政策收缩期,房价呈下降趋势,说明房价对政策的调控反应敏感呈现一致性变化。并发现政策对房价的调控具有一定的滞后性,滞后的周期大概是3个月左右。为了抑制当前过快增长的房价,建议从金融政策、土地政策、税收政策等方面来提高调控效果。本文认为,通过房地产调控政策改革,我国房地产市场可以保持健康稳定的发展势态,实现房地产业长远发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 In 1998,housing reform opened the prelude to the leaping development of China’s real estate market.Since 2005,housing price had risen rapidly.Many regulation policies have been made to stabilize housing price,but the effect of regulation often fails to reach the expected goal.The in-depth analysis of the effect of the regulation policies of the real estate market can provide suggestions for the government departments to introduce regulation policies and improve the effect of regulation and control.Therefore,the research object of this paper is the regulation policy of real estate market.An Empirical Analysis of the integrated use of paper and normative analysis,qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis combined three research literature research methods.First,summarized and evaluated the effect on the real estate control policies for academic research,the theory related to real estate control policy is expected to be clarified.Second,the Institute for supply and demand equilibrium theory needs,public choice theory and the theory of market failure elaborate,the theoretical basis is introduced for the study.After analyzing the real estate market regulation policy over years,and prices,capacity and supply and demand structure in three areas of its impact assessment,the use of quantitative models PSR analysis,the pressure indicator system,status indicators and response index system analysis,data standardization and weights are determined.Case in Chongqing with the empirical research,analysis of real estate control policy problems will be studied.Thesis research results showed that house prices variation in Chongqing correspond to the real estate marke policies.In the policy period,prices overall upward trend,in the policy of systolic,declining trend in prices,price sensitive to the regulation policies show consistent changes.Moreover,has a certain lag policy of price regulation,lag period of about three months.In order to curb the excessive growth of housing prices,recommendations from the aspects of financial policy,land policy and tax policy to improve regulatory effectiveness.Through the arguments of thi paper,by the real estate control policy reform,China’s real estate market can remain healthy and stable trend and the long-term development can be achieved.更多还原