【作者】 刘强；

【导师】 罗津；

【作者基本信息】 江西师范大学 ， 地图学与地理信息系统， 2018， 硕士

【摘要】 鄱阳湖生态经济区的成立,对江西的崛起具有重要里程碑意义,鄱阳湖生态经济区规划发展战略布局,相比于以往行政单元管理模式下区域发展(特别是城市人口、经济、产业)有何特点是国家和江西省委省政府非常关切的问题。本文针对鄱阳湖生态经济区区域发展状况,从社会经济数据的空间和时间两个维度出发,采用非空间统计方法与探索性分析方法相结合来探究2004-2013年鄱阳湖生态经济区区域发展状况。通过地理重心模型分析得知,2004-2013年,鄱阳湖生态经济区内GDP重心一直都在南昌县境内,整体的移动范围较小。2004-2008年,丰城市、高安市、樟树市GDP急剧上升,经济增长率大于北部地区导致区域GDP重心整体向南移动。2008-2012年,北部九江市经济增长率逐渐上升,导致区域GDP重心整体向北移动。鄱阳湖生态经济区年末总人口重心整体向北移动,总体来看鄱阳湖生态经济区北部人口增长率大于南部的人口增长率。鄱阳湖生态经济区内非农业人口增长率北部地区大于南部地区,西部地区小于东部地区。通过地理引力模型分析结果可知,鄱阳湖生态经济区内各个县域之间的经济联系强度逐年增强,各个县域的经济发展持续稳定上升,经济规模不断扩大。通过对2004-2013年鄱阳湖生态经济区内GDP、年末总人口进行全局和局部空间自相关分析结果可知,鄱阳湖生态经济区经济、人口分别在空间上存在正相关,且距离越近相关性越大。更多还原

【Abstract】 The establishment of the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone is an important milestone for the rise of Jiangxi.The Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone has a strategic and developing layout.Compared with the regional developing strategy(especially the urban population,economy and industry)under the previous administrative unit management model,what characteristics the new developing strategy has are big concerns of the state and Jiangxi provincial government.Based on the situation of regional development of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone,this paper uses non-spatial statistical methods and exploratory analysis methods to explore the regional development of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone during 2004-2013 from two dimensions,space and time for social economic data.According to the analysis of geographical gravity model,from 2004 to 2013,the center of GDP of the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone was always in Nanchang County,and the overall range of movement was small.From 2004 to 2008,the GDP of Fengcheng City,Gao’an City and Zhangshu City rose sharply,and the economic growth rate was greater than that of the northern region.As a result,the center of regional GDP moved southwards.From 2008 to 2012,the economic growth rate of Jiujiang City,which lies in the northern part,gradually increased,leading to the overall shift of the center of regional GDP to the north.The center of overall population of the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone moved to the north as a whole.Overall,the population growth rate in the northern Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone is greater than that in the south.The non-agricultural population growth rate in the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone in the northern region is greater than that in the southern region,and western region is smaller than eastern region.According to the analysis results of geographical gravitational model,the intensity of economic ties between counties in Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone has been increasing year by year,and the economic development of each county has continued to rise steadily,and the scale of the economy has continued to expand.Through the global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis of the GDP and the year-end total population in the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone during 2003-2014,we can see that the economy and the population of the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone are positively related in space and the closer the distance is,the bigger the correlation is.更多还原