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武汉市地铁换乘站对周边住房价格的影响研究

The Study on the Influence of Wuhan Subway Transfer Station on Surrounding Residential Prices

【作者】 李嘉;

【导师】 陈淑云;

【作者基本信息】 华中师范大学 , 土地资源管理, 2017, 硕士

【摘要】 城市轨道交通能极大改善居民出行方式,有效提升沿线物业通达性,进而对周边住宅价格形成增值效应。随着我国城镇化进程推进,城市公共交通投资建设力度加大,地铁线网逐渐实现由点线连接到面的辐射的转换。消费者对“地铁房”尤其是邻近换乘站点小区的需求偏好增加,同时,开发商将换乘站作为楼盘定价依据,促进销售、推高房价。事实上,较之普通地铁站点,换乘站周边的住房往往有着更高的价格和更快的涨幅。在住房价格的诸多影响因素中,地铁换乘站的作用正在逐渐加大。然而,学术界在构建轨道交通对住房价格的影响模型时,并未将换乘站作为变量进行探讨。本文以武汉市地铁换乘站为研究对象,通过对国内外文献的梳理与归纳,以外部性理论、区位理论、公共交通主导城市开发理论等相关理论为依托,以特征价格模型为核心研究方法,采取“由线及点”的展开思路探究地铁换乘站对周边住房价格影响效应。在理论分析部分,首先从地铁线网整体出发,探讨换乘站对住房商品定价所发挥的作用,由此提出换乘站周边住房市场的发展策略;其次从原理和假设、特征变量以及估计和检验等方面来介绍Hedonic模型。在实证分析部分,基于武汉市住房市场和地铁建设现状,将定性分析与定量分析相结合,构建武汉市地铁对沿线住房的特征价格模型。论文还进一步分析了武汉地铁换乘站对房价影响的空间分异性,通过引入4个虚拟变量分别测算换乘站对周边不同圈层内房价的影响程度。结果表明,换乘站对周边不同区段范围内房价的影响方向及大小各不相同,其中对500~1000米内住房价格的增值效应最显著。本文在已有文献资料的基础上,准确测算地铁换乘站对周边住房价格的影响并深入探究这种影响的空间效应,从微观角度来说,为房地产开发商进行楼盘定价和购房者的置业选择提供有益参考;从宏观角度来说,对政府有关部门制定合理的地铁建设规划和住房市场政策、进行公共资源有效配置从而促进城市科学经营和可持续发展具有重要意义。

【Abstract】 Urban rail transit can greatly improve the travel mode of residents, and effectively enhance the accessibility of property along the line, and then lead to an increasing residential prices. With the progress of urbanization in China, much efforts have been made to increase urban public transport investment and construction, thus the subway line network has gradually achieved the transition from the past point-line mode to the current subway network which has a greater radiation influence. Consumers’ demand for the houses in the vicinity of the transfer station is increasing, while developers might regard transfer station as a real estate pricing basis to promote sales and push up prices.In fact,compared to the ordinary subway station,the houses around transfer station often have a higher price and faster gains. These all show that among many factors of residential prices, the role of subway transfer station is more and more significant.However,among the academic community’s study on the influence of urban rail transit on residential prices, the transfer station is not regarded as a variable in an empirical analysis. Therefore, based on the existing reference, this thesis will show the accurate calculation of the impact of the subway transfer station on the surrounding residential prices and in-depth discussion of the impact of the spatial effect of this. From a micro perspective, the result will provide useful reference for the real estate developers for setting real estate prices and home buyers for making better choices; from a macro perspective, it is significant for the relevant government departments to develop a reasonable subway construction planning and housing market policies, the effective allocation of public resources to promote the city’s scientific management and sustainable development.Based on the Externalities Theory, Location Theory, Transit-Oriented-Development Theory and so on, this thesis takes the Hedonic Price Model as core research method to explore the influences of subway transfer station on surrounding residential prices. In the part of the theoretical analysis, the thesis first discusses the role of the transfer station in the pricing of housing commodity, and puts forward the development strategy of the housing market around it. Secondly, introducing the principles, assumptions, the characteristic variables, the estimation and inspection of Hedonic Price Model. In the empirical analysis, based on the status quo of housing market and subway construction in Wuhan,qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis are combined to construct the Hedonic Price Model of Wuhan Metro. The thesis also analyzes the spatial variability of the impact of the metro transfer station on residential prices. By introducing four dummy variables, the influence of the transfer station on the house price in the surrounding circle is measured. The results show that the transfer station has the most significant value-added effect around the 500~1000 meter section.The main innovation of this thesis lies in the analysis of the object to the subway transfer station, rather than the entire subway network or a single track line for a comprehensive analysis, and discussing the influence of the urban rail transit station on the surrounding residential prices from the spatial dimension.

  • 【分类号】F572.88;F299.23
  • 【被引频次】12
  • 【下载频次】408
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