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长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展研究

A Research on Coordinated Development of Trade Circulation Industry of Yangtze River Economic Zone

【作者】 王宁

【导师】 曾庆均;

【作者基本信息】 重庆工商大学 , 产业经济学, 2017, 硕士

【摘要】 文章在文献综述的基础上,通过分析商贸流通产业协调发展的相关理论,结合长江经济带商贸流通产业发展实际情况,尝试性的对长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展进行定义,并确定商贸流通产业协调发展的四个标志分别为:商贸流通产业市场间是开放的;商贸流通产业市场间是紧密联系的;区域间商贸流通产业是持续增长的;区域间商贸流通产业差距是逐步缩小的。接着从基本现状和区域差异两个方面对长江经济带商贸流通产业整体发展现状进行分析,得出长江经济带商贸流通产业整体规模不断增大,增速较快;商贸流通产业市场主体日益壮大,流通设施规模持续增长;商贸流通产业人员效率不断提升,资本效率略有下降;商贸流通产业区域发展不平衡,区域差异持续扩大等结论。在现状分析的基础上,文章根据长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展的四个标志构建了长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展的评价指标体系,并通过加权算术平均法和模糊数学的隶属度函数法构建了长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展度指标以及判断标准,随后通过定量分析分别对四个标志和协调发展度进行了测度,结果表明2006年到2015年长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展度整体呈下滑趋势,区域间协调性逐渐降低。针对上述结论,文章进一步通过面板数据的回归分析模型探讨了长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展的影响因素,结果表明对外贸易、连锁经营、货运周转量、固定资产投资、信息化水平对商贸流通产业协调发展具有正向促进作用;人均收入水平为则具有反向阻碍作用。最后文章针对上述分析内容提出了促进长江经济带商贸流通产业协调发展的几点建议。

【Abstract】 On the basis of the literature review, this paper analyzes the relevant theories of the coordinated development of the trade and circulation industry and the actual situation of the development of the trade and circulation industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, this paper attempts to define the coordinated development of the commerce and circulation industry of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and determine the four signs of the coordinated development of the commerce and circulation industry Respectively:commerce and circulation industry is open between the market; commerce and circulation industry market is closely linked; inter-regional commerce and circulation industry is growing; inter-regional cormmerce and circulation industry gap gradually narrowed. Then, analysis the overall situation of the development of commerce and circulation industry about the Yangtze River Economic Belt from two aspects:status quo and regional differences, and concluded that: the overall size of commerce and circulation industry continues to increase; commerce and circulation industry market is growing, The scale of circulation facilities has been increasing continuously; the efficiency of commercial and trade industry has been improved continuously, the capital efficiency has declined slightly; the regional development of commerce and circulation industry is unbalanced, and regional differences have continued to expand. On the basis of the analysis of the present situation, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of the coordinated development of the commerce and circulation industry of the Yangtze River Economic Belt according to the four signs of the coordinated development of the commerce and circulation industry of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Through the weighted arithmetic average method and the membership function method of fuzzy mathematics, this paper constructs the index and judgment standard of the coordinated development of the commerce and circulation industry of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and then makes a quantitative measurement of the four signs and the coordinated development degree respectively through the empirical analysis. The empirical results show that the Yangtze River Economic Belt Development degree as a whole showed a downward trend, inter-regional coordination gradually reduced. In view of the above conclusions, the article further explores the influencing factors of the coordinated development of the commerce and circulation industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt through the regression analysis model of the panel data. The results show that the foreign trade, fixed asset investment, chain management rate and logistics radiation force have a harmonious development Positive effect; the per capita income level has a reverse hindrance. Finally, the article puts forward some suggestions to promote the coordinated development of trade and circulation industry in the Yangtze River Economic Zone.

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