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我国流动老年人口居留意愿状况及其影响因素分析

The Analysis of the Status of the Willingness to Reside of China’s Floating Elderly Population and It’s Influencing Factors

【作者】 李晓刚

【导师】 侯建明;

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 , 人口、资源与环境经济学, 2017, 硕士

【摘要】 近年来,随着我国城镇化进程的加快与深化,流动人口的规模也随之不断大幅度增加,但是研究的焦点基本集中在青壮年流动人口,流动老年人口则因为某些原因,并未广泛引起学界关注。尤其需要注意的是,流动老年人口作为一个更加特殊的群体,其在流入地的居留意愿不仅反映了他们自身与家庭的基本生活状态,也体现了我国在社会经济转型过程中,不同人群能否享受公平、公正的待遇,同时也反映了国家以人为本的服务理念是否落实到位。本文通过交叉列表法得知:不同教育水平、性别、婚姻状况、户口性质、就业状态、经济圈、家庭月总支出、居民健康档案、流入区域、流动范围、流入时长与流动原因的流动老年人口的居留意愿的确存在差异。为了对以上结论做进一步验证,本文根据2015年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测数据,采用多元Logistic回归分析法,以我国流动老年人口的居留意愿为因变量,选取教育水平、性别、婚姻状况、户口性质、就业状态、经济圈、家庭月总支出、居民健康档案、流入区域、流动范围、流入时长与流动原因为自变量,研究我国流动老年人口居留意愿的影响因素,并与流动劳动年龄人口做出对比分析。根据分析结果得知:婚姻状况、户口性质、家庭月总支出、居民健康档案、流入区域、流动范围、流入时长与流动原因均在一定程度上影响了流动老年人口的居留意愿。根据所得结果,本文提出了相关的政策建议,如推进“互联网+养老”、加大养老基础设施与基础服务建设、优化城市群分布和贯彻家教家风建设。

【Abstract】 In recent years,with the speeding up and deepening of the urbanization process in our country,the scale of the floating population has been increasing continuously.However,the focus of the study is mainly on the young and middle-aged migrants.The floating elderly population is not widely attracted academic attention for some reasons.In particular,it is important to note that the floating elderly population as a more special group,the willingness to reside not only reflects their own and the family’s basic living conditions,but also reflects the process of social and economic transformation in China,different people can enjoy fair and equitable treatment,and also reflects the national people-oriented service concept is implemented in place.Through cross-list method,this article point out :different levels of education,gender,marital status,the nature of the account,employment status,economic circle,the total monthly expenditure of households,residents health records,inflow area,mobility range,inflow time and flow causes of the elderly population and there is indeed a difference in the willingness to reside.In order to further verify the above conclusions,this paper uses the multivariate logistic regression analysis to analyze the living expectation of migrant elderly population in China according to the dynamic monitoring data of the national population of mobile population in 2015,and select the educational level,gender,marital status and account Nature,employment status,economic circle,household monthly expenditure,resident health record,inflow area,flow range,inflow time and flow as independent variables,to study the influencing factors of migrant elderly population living in China,and to do with the working age population out of contrast.According to the results of the analysis,the marital status,the nature of the household,the total monthly expenditure of the family,the residents’ health records,the inflow area,the flow range,the inflow time and the flow causes have affected the living expectation of the elderly population to a certain extent.Based on the results,this paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions,such as promoting "Internet + old age",increase the construction of pension infrastructure and basic service,optimize the distribution of urban agglomeration and carry out the construction of family style.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 吉林大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2018年 02期
  • 【分类号】C913.6
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】562
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