【作者】 陈锋；

【导师】 马智利；

【作者基本信息】 重庆大学 ， 工程硕士（建筑与土木工程领域）（专业学位）， 2015， 硕士

【摘要】 近年来,随着我国城镇化、工业化水平不断提高,一大批农村人口涌入城市,造成了城乡建设用地失衡。在城市,具体表现为城市建设用地指标不足;而农村随着常住人口的逐渐减少,直接导致大量农村土地闲置。重庆作为经国务院批准的全国首个以省为单位的国家统筹城乡综合配套改革试验区,为了探索解决这一问题的途径,重庆市政府在“占补平衡”和绝对保证18亿亩耕地红线的基础上,于2008年创造性地实施了地票交易制度。经过6年多的发展,地票交易制度日趋完善,但同时其也面临着进一步发展的瓶颈,而地票二级市场问题就是其中之一。论文从重庆地票二级市场开放问题着手,以重庆地票交易和发展现状为基础,详细分析和论述了开放地票二级市场的必要性和可行性,并构建风险评价模型对开放地票二级市场风险进行了综合评价。最后,论文重点研究了地票二级市场的构建和交易机制模型。论文的主要内容包括以下三个部分。第一,分析了重庆地票交易和发展现状。主要从四个方面对重庆地票交易发展现状进行论述:一是介绍了重庆地票的发展历程,以时间为轴线梳理了地票发展过程中的重要事件;二是详细阐述了地票的交易过程,分别从重庆地票的交易量、交易均价、质押规模、需求主体、地票的供给和落地五个方面分析了重庆地票的交易实际情况;三是分析了制约重庆地票发展的四个主要瓶颈;四是对开放地票二级市场的必要性和可行性进行了分析。通过对以上四个方面的分析,为解决论文的核心问题提供论据。第二,对开放地票二级市场风险进行综合评估。论文在前人的研究基础上,通过风险识别、风险分析初步构建了开放地票二级市场风险评价指标体系,并通过对初步构建的指标体系进行可靠性分析,得到最终的风险评价指标体系。然后运用构建的FAHP(Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process)—灰色聚类模型对开放地票二级市场风险进行了综合评价。最后计算出其综合风险的评价值,得出相应的结论。第三,构建和设计地票二级市场交易机制。以产权交易理论、资产证劵化理论和高低匹配交易理论为基础。首先从确定了地票二级市场要素。其次分析了现阶段如何开放地票二级市场以及分阶段的开放地票二级市场。最后,分别设计了非证劵化的地票二级交易模型和证劵化的地票二级市场交易模型,并创造性地提出和分析了基于高低匹配法的地票二级市场交易方式。论文通过对以上三个方面的详细分析研究,得出了相关的研究结论(详细见论文第6章),希望能够拓展地票的相关理论,为我国地票交易制度的发展和土地制度改革提供政策启示和实践参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years, the degree of China’s urbanization, industry and continuously improve, a large number of rural population flood into cities, the direct result of the problem is the imbalance between urban and rural construction land, characterized by lack of urban construction land index, and with the decrease of rural population, causing a large number of idle rural land.As the first in the provinces which have been approved by the state council unit of national overall urban and rural comprehensive reform pilot area, in order to explore ways to solve this problem, Chongqing government creatively implement the land ticket trade in 2008 based on Demand-supply balance and Absolute guaranteed of 1.8 billion mu of arable land red line. After six years of development, land ticket trade system gradually perfect, at the same time it is faced with the bottleneck of further development, and the secondary market is one of them.This paper start with problems of opening secondary tickets market, based on land ticket trade and current situation of the development of a detailed analysis in Chongqing, and discusses the opening it’s necessity and feasibility of the secondary market, build risk evaluation model to open in the secondary market risk and has carried on the comprehensive evaluation. Finally, the paper mainly studied in the construction of the secondary market and trading mechanism model. It main content of the thesis includes the following four aspects.Firstly, this paper analyze situation of Land Quota development in Chongqing and mainly from the following three aspects to expound. One is the growth of Land Quota, With time as the axis Combing the important events in the process of development. The second is an obstacle to ticket development, Respectively from Chongqing to ticket volume, average, pledge size, requirements, main body, the supply of land ticket and be born five aspects analyzes the Chongqing land ticket trade actual situation; Three is the bottleneck restricting the land ticket transaction. At last,this chapter analyze necessity and feasibility of opening the ticket secondary market from several aspects based on the objective conditions and real needs.Through the analysis of the fuur aspects and provides the arguments in order to solve the problem of the core of the paper.Secondly, opening the secondary market of it was evaluated. Paper on the basis of predecessors’ research, through the risk identification, risk analysis, preliminary build the opening ticket secondary market risk evaluation index system, and get the final evaluation index system of risk base on analyzing reliability of the preliminary index system. Then the risk of opening Land Quota secondary market was comprehensive evaluated via FAHP- grey clustering model that constructed, finally calculate the comprehensive risk evaluation value and correspond conclusions.Thirdly, the secondary market trading mechanism model is designed in this paper. Based on the theory of property rights trading, asset securities theory and high and low matching theory: The first determine the factors of the secondary market;The second is how to open the secondary market at the present stage and the secondary market in stages of open ticket. Finally, it respectively designed the issuing of securities in the secondary trading model and of the securities in secondary market trading model, and creatively puts forward and analyses the matching method based on high and low matching theory to the secondary market tradingThe paper obtain research conclusion(details appearing the conclusion part of the thesis chapter 6) through the analysis of the above four aspects, Not only I hope that it is useful to healthy development of the it and could be a reference implementation of the national land ticket trade system, but also it provide a basis for the decision-making for the relevant government departments.更多还原