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国际电力脱硫建设工程风险管理研究

Study on Risk Management of International Electric Flue Gas Desulphurization Construction Project

【作者】 王锋

【导师】 赵振宇;

【作者基本信息】 华北电力大学(北京) , 工商管理(专业学位), 2016, 硕士

【摘要】 近年来,我国电力脱硫企业拓展国际市场的步伐明显加快,而相关建设工程越来越倾向于使用“设计—采购合同(EP)”模式承发包项目,面对复杂多样的各种风险,企业面临的项目执行风险越来越大。在此承包模式下,承包企业需面临与中国不同的政治、经济、社会、市场等环境,客观上加大了承包企业面临的风险;同时我国专业脱硫企业的实力尚不雄厚,风险管理体系不完善,风险防范意识还很薄弱。作为承包企业需要深入分析EP承包模式存在的关键风险因素,有效地测算风险影响,并采取有效措施进行防范,努力提升自身竞争力,才能在该领域实现持续、稳定发展。因此,如何分析EP模式国际电力脱硫建设工程的风险成因,及采取何种应对策略,就成为一个重要的课题。针对相关研究不充分的问题,本文从我国专业脱硫企业的角度出发,根据实证案例的论证及针对业内人士的调查问卷结果的分析,在系统剖析EP模式国际电力脱硫建设工程现状的基础上,对设计和采购阶段的关键风险因素进行识别和评价,并提出有针对性的风险防范措施和风险应对建议,目的是提高我国企业在参与EP承包项目过程中的风险管理能力,增强其国际市场竞争力。首先,对国际工程风险管理的基本理论和EP模式国际电力脱硫建设工程的现状进行了简要说明。其次,结合项目风险实例及调查问卷结果,梳理出EP模式国际电力脱硫建设工程设计阶段和采购阶段的六项关键风险因素;再次,运用层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重,通过定性与定量结合的评价方法,分别评定设计阶段和采购阶段的风险因素及其重要性;最后,提出风险应对策略,对国内专业脱硫公司提出有针对性的建议。

【Abstract】 Chinese electric flue gas desulphurization (FGD) enterprises are accelerating their steps to cultivate the international construction fields in recent years and their international business is developing fast. The "Engineering-Procurement" business pattern is more adopted in the international electric FGD construction fields. With various kinds of project risks, these FGD enterprises are facing more and more execution risks. Under this business model, Chinese contractors need to face different politics, economic, social and market environments from the Chinese market, which brings more business risks actually. In fact, Chinese FGD contractors are in lack of relevant knowledge and experiences more or less for EP construction projects, their anti-risk skills are very weak and the risk management system is incomplete. They just donot pay much attention to anti-risk measures. The Chinese contractors need to focus more on analysis of key risk factors that EP construction projects bring and predict the impacts these risk factors will have. Thereof, feasible proction measures should be adopted. Only through this way, Chinese constractors could enhance their own competitiveness and achieve sustainable and stable development. How to analysize the risk factors for international electric FGD projects under EP business patters and what measures should be taken to control these risks are becoming a vital issue for Chinese FGD contractors.On the background of inadequate research over anti-risk issues in the internatoinal FGD construction sectors, this thesis, from a Chinese FGD contractor’s point of view, carries on systemic analysis on current status of international electric FGD construction projects with Engineering-Procurement business pattern, based on real-case studies and surveyes analysis from industry insiders. This thesis identifies and evaluates key risk facotrs in the engineering as well as procurement stages of FGD projects, and then makes feasible anti-risk measures and suggestions at the end, in order to strengthen Chinese FGD contractors’risk management capability for international construction projects and enhance their own competitiveness in the markets. Firstly, this thesis explains basic theories of risk management for international constrcution projects, as well as the current status of international FGD construction projects under the Engineering-Procurement business pattern. Secondly, various risk types and risk sources are analysized on the basis of real-case studyies and a total of 6 key risk factors are summarized for each work stage. Thirdly, this thesis calculates various risks’weights with Analytic Hierarchy Process and analyzes their importance and influence in the engineering and procurement stages respectively, with qualitative and quantitative analysis. Finally, this thesis brings anti-risk methods and puts out targeted suggestions for Chinese FGD contractors.

  • 【分类号】TU71;X773
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】108
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