【作者】 李龙；

【导师】 杨鶤；

【作者基本信息】 西南交通大学 ， 交通运输工程， 2016， 硕士

【摘要】 近几年来,成都市经济总量迅猛发展,城市规模不断扩大,居民出行需求不断增加,交通供给表现出明显的滞后性。从成都市的长远发展来看,单纯地增加道路供给由于没有充分兼顾到城市资源和环境的可承载性,很难适应现代化的城市交通需求管理,因此考虑到成都市交通的可持续发展,必须研究居民出行方式选择影响因素,对科学制定和有效实施出行需求管理策略,进而实现从源头上引导居民合理出行,优化出行结构有重要意义。首先梳理了国内外相关文献,然后从公共交通方式、个体机动交通以及慢行交通三个发方面阐述了成都市出行方式特性,对新兴的手机打车软件进行了SWOT分析以及描述了成都市居民出行结构发展新趋势。本文立足于居民出行方式选择的决策过程,依托成都市2014可持续移动调查项目,以公共交通、私家车、出租车、电动自行车以及步行方式为分析实例,对项目问卷中相关内容进行变量调整,并引入知觉价值概念,结合结构方程模型(SEM),建立成都市居民公共交通出行选择模型、成都市居民私家车出行选择模型、成都市居民出租车出行选择模型、成都市居民电动车出行选择模型以及成都市居民步行出行选择模型。根据项目数据,运用SPSS和AMOS软件对其进行了描述性统计分析、信度分析和效度分析,在其基础上进行了结构方程分析,检验和修正各研究变量之间路径关系,拟合出模型的适配度指标,并进行显著性检验,表明实际数据与所建模型之间的契合度良好,具有基本的解释能力,得到最终模型。最后依据模型检验结果,结合研究变量之间的路径系数,分析了不同出行方式的影响因素,并提出了相应的建议和对策。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years,with the rapid development of the economic in Chengdu,the expanding city size,as well as the unceasingly increasing residents demand,traffic supply shows a significant lag.From the perspective of the long-term development of Chengdu, it is very difficult to adapt to the modern urban traffic demand management because of the lack of the carrying capacity of the urban resources and the environment.Now, therefore, in consideration of sustainable development of Chengdu, it is necessary to study the influencing factors of residents travel mode choice, which is significant for making scientific and effective implementation of travel demand management strategies, guiding residents from the source to reasonable travel, and optimizing the travel structure.Firstly the paper reviews the related literature at home and abroad, describes the trip mode characteristics of Chengdu from the public means of transportation, individual motorized traffic and slow traffic,carries on the SWOT analysis of the new taxi phone software and describe the structure of residents in Chengdu showing a new trend.In this paper, based on the decision-making process of the choice of travel mode of residents, relying on the 2014 sustainable mobile survey project in Chengdu,the thesis adjusts the variables of the relevant content of the project with public transport, private cars, taxis, electric bicycles and walking as an example of the analysis.And introducing the concept of perceived value, combined with structural equation model (SEM), it establishes the model of residents choosing public transport in Chengdu,the model of residents making private car choice in Chengdu,the model of residents choosing to travel by taxi in Chengdu,the model the model of residents traveling by electric bicycles in Chengdu and the model of walking in Chengdu. According to the project data, the paper uses the SPSS software on the descriptive statistical analysis, reliability analysis and validity analysis, then proceeds the structural equation analysis by AMOS,tests and modifies the path relationship between the study variables, fits the model adaptation index and completes the significance test,which shows the actual data fitting good and explains the the ultimate model.Finally, based on the model test results and the path coefficient between study variables, the thesis analyses the results and proposes relevant recommendations contrapuntally.更多还原