【作者】 孙涛；

【导师】 苗青；

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 ， 供应链风险管理（专业学位）， 2016， 硕士

【摘要】 汽车行业是较早进入大规模工业化的行业,同时也具有典型的供应链系统,供应链在汽车行业的发展中起着至关重要的作用。现在随着各行业专业化的发展,越来越多的汽车企业将自己的业务逐渐外包,汽车企业的发展也越来越依靠外包企业,企业的供应链水平决定了企业的竞争力。而在供应链在增加企业优势的同时,也面临着自身的风险,同时给企业带来了潜在的风险。一汽吉林汽车作为较早进入汽车行业的企业,对供应链管理方面有着较长时间的经验,但近年来随着行业内竞争的加剧以及行业增速的放缓,供应链的危机逐年增多,一定程度上影响了企业的正常运营,因此如何对企业的供应链风险进行有效的管理成为了企业面临的重要课题。本人在一汽吉林汽车从事汽车零部件采购工作多年,通过统计数据的对比,发现一汽吉林汽车的供应链风险在逐年增加。随着汽车行业的竞争加剧,以及经济下行压力的影响下,汽车行业增速放缓,车企普遍面临销量的下滑、利润率下降的问题,而相关联的汽车零部件供应链体系的也面临同样的问题,供应链风险逐渐增加,供应链危机时常出现,逐渐对正常的生产经营造成了重大的影响。而在一汽吉林汽车的供应链管理中缺乏风险管理意识,供应链风险管理工作往往是风险影响发生后的暂时的或间断性地管理,同时缺乏对供应链风险的评估机制,无法对供应链风险进行预判并进行事前处置,将损失降至最低。本文对一汽吉林的供应链风险进行了逐一识别,将供应链风险分为需求波动、供应商自身、合作关系、外部环境四个大类及14个小类。通过供应链管理人员进行问卷调查,得到个类别的重要度关系,并依据层次分析方法得出类别权重。并通过对问卷中得出风险评价指标,使用模糊综合评价方法得出风险评估值。根据识别及估测的结果,对供应链风险分类的各项逐一针对性的提出对策措施以及预防策略。并对企业内部的保障措施进行说明。最后根据企业实际情况,建立了供应链风险预警机制框架,通过风险预警机制提高供应链风险管控能力。并提出了实施供应链风险管控的保障措施:提高供应链之间的信息透明度、支援供应商能力的提升、建立供应链资金保障机制、公司高层参与供应链管理等方面等。更多还原

【Abstract】 The automotive industry is the early entry into large-scale industrialization, with a typical supply chain, supply chain plays a vital role in the development of the automotive industry. Now the industry more professional, more and more car companies will increasingly outsource their business, the development of auto companies are increasingly relying on outsourcing, enterprise supply chain determines the level of competitiveness of enterprises. In the supply chain increase their advantage, but also has its own risks, and to the enterprise potential risks.FAW Jilin Automobile as early entry into the automotive industry companies, has a wealth of experience in supply chain management, but in the increasingly fierce competition in the industry in recent years, while the slowdown in the automotive industry growth, supply chain risks are increasing year by year, to a certain extent affecting the normal operation of enterprises, organizations for supply chain risk management has become an important business issue.I worked for many years in the FAW Jilin Automobile, has been engaged in auto parts procurement, feel FAW Jilin Automobile supply chain risk is increasing year by year. Increased competition in the automotive industry, the economy downward pressure, the automotive industry slowdown, most car companies as well as margins decline in sales, the automotive supply chain system is also facing the same problem, increasing supply chain risk, recurring supply chain crisis, affecting the normal production and operation.FAW Jilin Automobile supply chain management lack of awareness of risk management, supply chain risk management to take temporary and not continuous management, a lack of supply chain risk assessment mechanism, unable to supply chain risk anticipation, and by preventing the loss of down to a minimum.This paper identifies the supply chain risk FAW Jilin, supply chain risk is divided into: fluctuations in demand, suppliers their ability to bilateral cooperation relations, the external environment four categories, and 14 subcategories. By questionnaire to obtain the degree of importance of the relationship between categories and category weights obtained by mathematical methods. And through a questionnaire drawn risk assessment, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method derived risk assessment values. According to the results of the identification and estimation of the supply chain risk classification of each of the proposed targeted countermeasures and prevention strategies. It describes the necessary safeguards.Finally, according to the actual situation of enterprises to establish a supply chain risk early warning mechanism, improve the supply chain risk management and control capabilities. And put forward the necessary protection measures: improving information accuracy between the supply chain, enhance supplier capabilities to support the establishment of supply chain security funds, company executives involved in the supply chain management and so on.更多还原