【作者】 黄春；

【导师】 陶满德；

【作者基本信息】 江西师范大学 ， 土地资源管理， 2014， 硕士

【摘要】 自2010年国家开始对住宅地产市场进行多方面的调控，住宅地产市场的发展受到一定程度的抑制，大多数房地产开发商逐渐加大对商业地产的投资比重。近几年，商业地产的开发量呈爆发式增长，世邦魏理仕(CBRE)发布的一份最新研究报告表明，中国在建购物中心面积约计1680万平方米，已占全球的一半以上。许多学者纷纷表示担忧国内商业地产可能出现“过剩危机”。国家提出当前城镇发展要走新型城镇化的道路，这样的整体商业地产发展环境中，商业地产的开发量是否出现过剩现象，或者说目前商业地产的体量规模是否合理关系到城镇化的质量好坏。因此，加强对商业地产合理规模的研究有利于政府对本地区商业地产的开发量是否合理进行判断，有利于政府部门制定合理的相关政策，有利于新型城镇化顺利的发展进程。本文首先通过对新型城镇化涵义、商业地产和商业地产合理规模进行界定，对中心地理论、商圈理论、商业地产价值链理论、供需均衡理论进行总结，并分析我国当前的商业地产发展现状及新型城镇化对我国商业地产发展提出的要求。然后，通过研究商业地产合理规模相关模型构建出一个较为合理的测算模型，并以南昌市为例得出商业地产合理规模。最后，以案例分析及借鉴的方式分析总结武汉市商圈发展规律给南昌市商业地产的发展提出几点建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Since2010the country began to carry out a wide range of residential real estatemarket regulation, the development of the residential real estate market is subject to acertain degree of inhibition, most real estate developers to gradually increase theproportion of investment in commercial property. In recent years, the amount ofcommercial property development was the explosive growth, CBRichardEllis (CBRE)released a new research report shows that there are approximately16.8million squaremeters shopping center building in China, accounting for more than half of theworld’s. Many scholars have expressed concern about the domestic commercialproperty may be a "crisis of overproduction." Now our country carry out new-typeurbanization that we should hold on. In such an environment. Whether or not thedevelopment of commercial property is excess or The current commercial volumescale is reasonable in relation to the quality of urbanization. Therefore, thestrengthening of research-scale commercial real estate reasonable amount to help thegovernment to develop the region’s commercial property, is conducive to thedevelopment of rational government policies conducive to the smooth development ofnew urbanization process.Firstly, this article through the new meaning of urbanization, commercial realestate and commercial property to define a reasonable size for central place theory,theory business area, commercial property value chain theory, the theory of supplyand demand equilibrium summarize and analyze the current status of China’scommercial property development and new urbanization of China’s commercialproperty development requests. Then, through research related to commercial realestate reasonable scale model building a more reasonable calculation model, andcommercial real estate in Nanchang come to a reasonable size for example. Finally,case studies and learn from the way the analysis are summarized in Wuhan businessarea to the development of the law of development of commercial property inNanchang make a few suggestions.更多还原