【作者】 王静；

【导师】 李浩；

【作者基本信息】 宁波大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2014， 硕士

【摘要】 随着温室效应的加剧和中国对外开放程度的不断提升，外商直接投资对东道国碳排放的影响日益引起各方重视。作为我国吸引外资最多的五大省份之一的浙江省，在外商直接投资强劲驱动经济快速增长的同时，能源过度消耗，碳排放激增等问题日益暴露。本文经过理论分析认为，碳排放的影响因素可归结为规模因素、结构因素和技术因素三个方面。其中，规模因素表现为GDP总量、人口；结构因素表现为：产业结构和能源结构；技术因素表现为能源效率或能源强度。而外商直接投资通过影响GDP、产业结构和能源效率来影响碳排放，分别对应外商直接投资环境效应的规模效应、结构效应和技术效应。依据理论分析，本文接着分五部分进行了实证分析。首先建立多元线性回归模型，将浙江省的碳排放量作为因变量，将浙江省GDP总量、产业结构和能源效率作为自变量。结果显示，GDP和产业结构对浙江省的碳排放有正向的影响作用，能源效率对浙江省的碳排放有负向的影响作用。接着采用EG两步法对外商直接投资和浙江省的碳排放进行协整检验，以检验它们之间的相关性。结果表明，浙江省引进外商直接投资与碳排放量之间存在长期的均衡关系。最后的三部分实证分析分别是对浙江省外商直接投资对浙江省碳排放的规模效应、结构效应以及技术效应的实证。结果表明，浙江省外商直接投资对碳排放有正向的规模效应和结构效应，负向的技术效应，其中结构效应的影响较弱。鉴于实证分析的结果，本文最后提出以下政策建议：一、优化引进FDI产业结构，发挥减排结构效应；二、加强低碳技术国际合作及CDM项目的引进；三、加强政府职能，完善相关制度体系；四、建立低碳城市试点区。更多还原

【Abstract】 Along with the aggravation of greenhouse effect and the continuous increase of degree ofChina’s opening, the influence of foreign direct investment to the host countries’ carbon emissionshas aroused attention increasingly. In Zhejiang province—one of the five provinces who attractforeign investment most in our country, foreign direct investment drives the economic growthstrongly, at the same time, the problems of Excessive energy consumption and surge carbonemissions is exposed day by day.Through the theoretical analysis, we summarize the influencing factors of carbon emissions asscale factors, structural factors, and technical factors. And, scale factors include GDP, population;scale factors include industrial structure and energy structure; technical factors include energyefficiency or energy intensity. And foreign direct investment affects carbon emissions by affectingGDP, industrial structure, and energy efficiency, which correspond to scale effect, structure effectand technical effect of environmental effect of foreign direct investment respectively.Based on the theoretical analysis, we proceed with the empirical analysis which is divided intofive parts. Firstly, with carbon emissions of Zhejiang province as dependent variable and with GDPof Zhejiang province, industrial structure and energy efficiency as independent variable, weestablish a multiple linear regression model. The result indicates that GDP and industrial structurehave positive impact on carbon emissions and energy efficiency has negative impact on carbonemissions. Then we make co-integration test about foreign direct investment and carbon emissionsof Zhejiang province with Engle—Granger two-stage method to test the correlation between them.The result indicates that there exists long-run equilibrium relationship between foreign directinvestment of Zhejiang province and carbon emissions of Zhejiang province. The last three parts ofempirical analysis is about scale effect, structure effect and technical effect of foreign directinvestment influencing carbon emissions of Zhejiang province respectively. The result indicatesthat scale effect and structure effect that foreign direct investment of Zhejiang province influencingcarbon emissions is positive and the technical effect is negative, but the structure effect is weak.According to the result of the empirical analysis, the paper finally puts forward the followingpolicy suggestions: first, optimize the industrial structure of introduction of FDI and bring into playthe structure effect of emission reduction; second, strengthen the international cooperation oflow-carbon technology and introduction of CDM items；third, enhance the government functionsand perfect the relevant institutional system; fourth, set up experimental city of low carbon.更多还原