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枣大球蚧在新疆的适生性与风险性研究

Studies on Suitable Geographic Distribution and Risk Analysis of Eulecanium Gigantean in Xinjiang

【作者】 王磊

【导师】 王登元;

【作者基本信息】 新疆农业大学 , 动物学, 2013, 硕士

【摘要】 中国森林植物检疫对象枣大球蚧20世纪70年代末期开始,枣大球蚧开始传入新疆。1980年首次在和田地区发现该虫,1983年在喀什地区枣苗上发现该虫,为弄清该害虫的发生规律从而采用有效的防范措施,于2012年4月~2012年10月在新疆伊犁地区、巴州地区、阿克苏地区、喀什地区、和田地区开展了枣大球蚧适生性分析及其风险性研究。主要研究结果如下:1.比较清楚的了解了枣大球蚧的生物学特性:包括生活史、习性与行为特征、发生规律、越冬存活率等。2.野外调查结果表明:枣大球蚧在新疆的伊犁哈萨克自治州(霍城县),巴音郭楞蒙古自治州(库尔勒市、轮台县、且末县、和静县)阿克苏地区(库车县、沙雅县),克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州(阿图什市、阿克陶县),喀什地区(喀什市、巴楚县、伽师县、叶城县、泽普县、莎车县、英吉沙县、疏附县、疏勒县),和田地区(和田市、和田县、皮山县、墨玉县、洛浦县、策勒县、于田县、民丰县),均有分布。3.利用GARP软件及ArcGIS预测了枣大球蚧在新疆的潜在分布区:除北疆的阿勒泰地区、塔城地区、伊犁州大部分地区、昌吉州、乌鲁木齐市周边地区及南疆的塔克拉玛干沙漠,其余各地州大部分地区均为枣大球蚧潜在适生分布区。4.对枣大球蚧在新疆的风险性进行评估分析,得出风险评估的风险等级(R值=1.77)得到相应科学合理的防治办法,为新疆制定枣大球蚧的风险管理策略、实施有效的管理和尽快遏制其扩散蔓延提供科学依据。

【Abstract】 Forest Eulecanium gigantean has been taken a place in the China Forestry PlantQuarantine Objects.It spreaded into Xinjiang at the beginning of1970s.It was found for thefirst time in Hotan in1980,and in1983it was found in Jujube seedlings of Kashi area.In orderto provide effective prevention measures,conducting the survey about the occurrence rules ofthe pests.Conducting the adaptability analysis of Eulecanium gigantean in April2012toOctober2012.And the test sites was set in Xinjiang Yili Prefecture, Bazhou, Aksu Prefecture,Kashgar, Hotan. The main findings are as follows:1. Understanding the biological characteristics of Eulecanium gigantean clearly: lifehistory, habits, behavioral characteristics, occurrence and survival rates were included.2. The field investigations indicated that Eulecanium gigantean distributed in XinjiangIli Kazak Autonomous Prefecture (Huocheng) Mongol Autonomous Prefecture Bayinguoleng(Korla City, Luntai, Qiemo County, and static County) Aksu Prefecture (Kuqa County,Shaya),Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture (City atushi, Akto County), Kashi (Kashi City, Bachu County,Jiashi County, Yecheng, Zep County, Shache County, EikichiSha County, Shufu County,Shule County) and Hotan region (the city of Hotan, Hotan County, Hill County, leather, MoyuCounty, Lop, Cele, Yutian County, Minfeng).3. Using the GARP modeling combined with the the ArcGIS spatial analysis of moduleto predict the potential geographic distribution of the pests. The potential suitable area ofEulecanium gigantean in Xinjiang is very widely. Except Altay region, Tacheng region, mostareas of Yili Prefecture,Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, the surrounding area of UrumqiCity, and Taklimakan Desert of the southern border, the most areas of the other states inXinjiang are potential suitable areas of Eulecanium gigantean.4. Conducting risk assessment analysis of Eulecanium gigantean in Xinjiang to obtainthe risk rank of the pest(R=1.77). Formulating scientifical and reasonable control measures toprovide the scientific basis for risk management strategies of Eulecanium gigantean inXinjiang, to implement effective management and to contain the spread of the pest.

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