【作者】 刘莹；

【导师】 林永钦；

【作者基本信息】 南昌大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2012， 硕士

【摘要】 随着鄱阳湖生态经济区不断快速地发展,在发展的同时给该地区带来的生态压力也不断增加。因此对鄱阳湖生态经济区生态资源的消耗状况进行定量分析已成为必要。近年来,生态足迹法作为一种新的定量分析法,已被广泛使用。本文对鄱阳湖生态经济区的生态足迹进行了研究。本文运用生态足迹的相关理论以及分析对鄱阳湖生态经济区的可持续发展进行了定量地评价,并以鄱阳湖生态经济区30个县市为研究对象。运用鄱阳湖生态经济区2006-2010年的相关数据,计算出各个地区相应的生态足迹大小,并计算出整个鄱阳湖生态经济区的生态足迹和生态承载力,在此基础上计算出鄱阳湖生态经济区的生态压力,进而对鄱阳湖生态经济区的可持续性进行了研究；在GIS的支持下对生态足迹的空间分布进行了可视化表达；运用ESDA、GIS相结合对鄱阳湖生态经济区生态足迹的空间集聚性和差异性进行了研究；运用空间线性回归方法,对影响鄱阳湖生态经济区空间分布特征的指标进行了分析。基于以上的分析,得出以下结论：2006-2010年鄱阳湖生态经济区生态压力逐年递增,鄱阳湖生态经济区发展不符合可持续的发展模式；2006-2010年鄱阳湖生态经济区不同地区间生态足迹呈现较强的空间集聚性,但随着时间的推移,集聚性呈现减弱趋势,同时也存在差异性。空间集聚性体现在以南昌县、进贤县为中心的高高型(HH)区域和以九江县为中心的低低型(LL)区域的空间溢出效应；空间差异性主要体现在处于低高型(LH)区域的南昌市区,与周边地区的生态足迹呈现负相关性；影响鄱阳湖生态经济区生态足迹空间分布特征的指标有人口数、GDP、第一产业增加值占生产总值的比重。更多还原

【Abstract】 Along with the continuously rapid development of the Poyang lake ecological economic zone, at the same time the pressure it brings is constantly increasing. So it is necessary to make quantitative analysis for ecological consumption status of resources of Poyang lake ecological economic zone.The ecological footprint method in recent years as a new kind of quantitative analysis methods, has been widely used. The paper made a research on ecological footprint of Poyang lake ecological economic zone.The paper used the theories and analysis of ecological footprint to have a quantitative evaluation to sustainable development of Poyang lake ecological economic zone. And it treated30counties in Poyang lake ecological economic zone as the research objects. By using the related data from2006to2010of Poyang lake ecological economic zone, it calculated corresponding size of ecological footprint of each region. Also, it has calculated ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of the whole Poyang lake ecological zone. Then it got the ecological pressure and did a research on the sustainability of Poyang lake ecological economic zone; Under the support of GIS, it had visible presentation to space distribution of ecological footprint; The paper studied the space agglomeration and difference of ecological footprint of Poyang lake ecological economic zone by using the way of combining ESDA with GIS; According to the space linear regression method, it made analysis on indexes which effect space distribution characteristics of Poyang lake ecological economic zone.Based on the above analysis, the paper drew the following conclusion:The ecological pressure of Poyang lake ecological economic zone is increasing year after year from2006to2010.The development of Poyang lake ecological economic zone belongs to the type of unsustainable development; The ecological footprint in different regions of Poyang lake ecological economic zone present strong agglomeration, but with the passage of time, the agglomeration becomes weaker and exists difference at the same time. Spatial agglomeration mainly reflects on the space spill-over effect of high-type region centered on Nanchang county and Jinxian county, and low-type region centered on Jiujiang county. Spatial difference mainly reflects on that the relation of ecological footprint between Nan Chang city at the land high type region and surrounding regions is negative correlation; The indexes that effect space distribution characteristics of ecological footprint of Poyang lake ecological economic zone are population, GDP and the proportion that the first industrial added value accounted for GDP.更多还原